Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Conference League Predictions
Vaduz face an uphill battle to progress in the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League as they host AZ Alkmaar in the third qualifying round. This second-leg match on Thursday at Rheinpark Stadion starts with a 3-0 lead for AZ, and our prediction is an away win with under 4.5 goals.
AZ started in the second qualifying round, where they defeated Ilves 8-4 on aggregate. Vaduz also started in the second qualifying round, where they defeated Dungannon Swifts 3-1 on aggregate. The winner of this two-legged tie will proceed to the playoff round, where the winner of Levski Sofia vs Sabah will be awaiting them.
Vaduz responded to the defeat in the first leg with a 3-0 win in the Swiss Challenge League, but the challenge will be to replicate it in Europe. They will be wary of their previous qualifying round, where they lost the home leg 1-0 to Dungannon.
That defeat remains their only loss in three competitive home games this season, so there’s still some hope to take the game deeper.
AZ continued their impressive scoring record with a 4-1 home win over Groningen at the weekend. That made it three wins and a draw in their last four competitive matches.
They scored 14 goals in this sequence, but with their progression pretty much settled, they may take the foot off the pedal here.
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The Best Betting Odds for FC Vaduz v AZ Alkmaar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 6.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
7 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
7 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
7 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
|
|
6.75 | 5.75 | 1.34 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Vaduz and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the FC Vaduz vs AZ Alkmaar match is: AZ Alkmaar win and under 4.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2025 between FC Vaduz and AZ Alkmaar in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.91% for a win of FC Vaduz against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 7.55 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Vaduz vs AZ Alkmaar is 6.33% with odds of 6.8 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 64.76% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs FC Vaduz with odds of 1.35 at Vbet.
FC Vaduz vs AZ Alkmaar Form
FC Vaduz and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Challenge League
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Challenge League
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
27 Jul 2025 - Challenge League
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Challenge League
27 Jul 2025 - Challenge League
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2025 - Challenge League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Challenge League
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2025 - Challenge League
20 May 2025 - FL1 Aktiv - Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
4 May 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
FC Vaduz vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
27 Oct 2022 - Conference League
15 Sep 2022 - Conference League
Most goals and assists
FC Vaduz
AZ Alkmaar
N. Hasler
(2 Goals)
, 
Dantas Fernandez
(2 Goals)
T. Parrott
(2 Goals)
E. Poku
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Chavez
(1 Assists)
FC Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- AZ won three of their last four matches.
- Vaduz’ last six competitive games of this season have seen three or fewer goals scored.
- In their three home competitive matches of this campaign, Vaduz saw exactly three goals scored.
- In two of AZ’s last three games, there have been four or fewer goals scored.
- AZ won all three of their previous matches against Vaduz, two of those coming in the 2022 Conference League.
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Our FC Vaduz vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
AZ put a foot in the playoffs with a smashing win in the first leg, and a three-goal margin would be too much for Vaduz to overcome. The Dutch visitors are in good scoring form, having netted four at the weekend and aggregating 14 goals from their last four matches. They are likely to ease through this match, but the hosts could relish in keeping the goals to a minimum and save some pride.
There’s value in backing the goals market, and our FC Vaduz vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is AZ Alkmaar win and under 4.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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