FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC Prediction & Betting Tips - K-League
South Korea - K-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
FC Seoul will play host to Gwangju FC on Matchday 5 in the K-League on Sunday. The Dark Red Warriors and the Gwangju Griffins are second and fourth in the league standings, respectively. Check out our match prediction below.
FC Seoul have made a very positive start to the season and enter this weekend as one of only two teams with a perfect record after three games alongside league leaders Ulsan.
The Dark Red Warriors recorded their first clean sheet of the term last week in their 1-0 victory over Pohand. However, their AFC Champions League campaign also ended last week after losing 3-1 on aggregate to Vissel Kobe.
This match marks the hosts’ first home game this season. Last term, they earned 27 points from their 19 games at this venue, which included beating this opponent 3-0 here in September.
Meanwhile, Gwangju are one of five sides still unbeaten in the top flight after four games, but three of those ended in draws, including last week's trip to Gimcheon Sangmu (1-1).
The positive for the Griffins is that they kept two clean sheets in their four games this term. However, they also failed to score in either of those matches, which is a concern after finishing as the second-lowest-scoring team in the division last season.
The visitors had a record of W7 D5 L7 on the road last season and have drawn both away games so far this term.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
FC Seoul v Gwangju FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 3.8 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.16 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.9 | 5.87 |
|
|
1.42 | 4 | 7 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.1 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Seoul and Gwangju FC?
Our prediction for the FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC match is: FC Seoul wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2026 between FC Seoul and Gwangju FC in K-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.51% for a win of FC Seoul against Gwangju FC with odds of 1.58 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC is 36.79% with odds of 4.2 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Gwangju FC vs FC Seoul with odds of 7.3 at Shangrila.
FC Seoul - Gwangju FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Seoul Gwangju FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.79% | 4.2 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 58.73% | 1.96 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 20.06% | 6 at Bet365 |
FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC Form
FC Seoul and Gwangju FC's standings in the K-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
42 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | +18 |
|
12
|
10 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -34 |
FC Seoul and Gwangju FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2026 - K-League
15 Mar 2026 - K-League
11 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - K-League
17 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
17 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
10 Dec 2025 - AFC Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - K-League
4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League
26 Oct 2025 - K-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2026 - K-League
15 Mar 2026 - K-League
11 Mar 2026 - AFC Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - K-League
10 Feb 2026 - AFC Champions League
30 Nov 2025 - K-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - K-League
14 Mar 2026 - K-League
7 Mar 2026 - K-League
1 Mar 2026 - K-League
5 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
30 Nov 2025 - K-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - K-League
7 Mar 2026 - K-League
5 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
22 Nov 2025 - K-League
2 Nov 2025 - K-League
25 Oct 2025 - K-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - K-League
1 Mar 2026 - K-League
30 Nov 2025 - K-League
8 Nov 2025 - K-League
18 Oct 2025 - K-League
28 Sept 2025 - K-League
FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sept 2025 - K-League
13 Jun 2025 - K-League
19 Apr 2025 - K-League
6 Oct 2024 - K-League
2 Jun 2024 - K-League
2 Mar 2024 - K-League
FC Seoul against Gwangju FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
K. Hyeon-mu
DefenderP. Seong-hun
H. Lee
MidfielderP. Han-gyeol
L. Seung-mo
H. Do-yoon
ForwardC. Seong-hoon
P. Klimala
M. Seon-min
R. Hee-dong
DefenderL. Min-ki
Y. Hong
H. Kang
J. Gyu-min
J. Ji-Hoon
K. Yun-ho
K. Sung-yun
Most goals and assists
FC Seoul
Gwangju FC
P. Klimala
(7 Goals)
M. Min-seo
(4 Goals)
M. Seon-min
(4 Assists)
H. Fridjonsson
(2 Assists)
FC Seoul - Gwangju FC Key Points
- FC Seoul have won all three of their league games this season.
- FC Seoul scored the second-most home goals in the league last season.
- Gwangju FC have failed to win either of their away games this season.
- Gwangju FC lost their last away game against this opponent 3-0.
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Our FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC Prediction
Gwangju FC have made a decent start to the season, still unbeaten after their first four games, but they also failed to score in two of their matches, which is a concern after finishing as the second-lowest-scoring team in the division last term.
FC Seoul, on the other hand, have burst out the blocks this season with three wins in a row, all of which came on the road. They are now set for their first home game of the campaign, and we feel they will extend their winning record in this one. Our FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC prediction is FC Seoul wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Seoul Gwangju FC
| FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul wins | 1.62 | 1.58 | -2.5% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.2 | +13.5% |
| Gwangju FC wins | 5.5 | 7.3 | +32.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 23.8% (-3.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
