Fabian Marozsan vs Luca Nardi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Almaty Open

Prediction published on 12/10/2025, 19:11  by Geoffrey Ejiga | Modified on 12/10/2025 at 19:12 in Tennis Predictions

Luca Nardi must now hunt for his first H2H win over Fabian Marozsan if he hopes to make it out of the RO32 in the ATP 250 Almaty. Marozsan is the better player here and rightfully the favourite, but we're not ruling out Nardi. Check out our sharp pick in this Fabian Marozsan vs Luca Nardi match prediction.

We feel Marozsan can make it four of four wins against Nardi, but our sharp bet is on the total sets market, and we're betting on this game to end in two specifically. This is a safer play in our opinion, especially as two of their only three H2Hs ended this way. And that's been a similar pattern in their recent games.

For Marozsan, ten of his last 15 three-set singles have ended in two sets. And since we expect Marozsan to win, it's good to highlight that five of his eight wins in that span were straight-set victories.  Likewise, ten of Nardi’s last 14 three-set games were finished in two sets. Then, for Nardi’s losses, nine of his last ten three-set defeats were in two sets.

Marozsan did lose this bet in his last outing, but that's expected when taking a set in a loss to Taylor Fritz. On the other hand, Nardi did win this bet in his 2-0 loss to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.