Everton vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Everton will close out Matchday 23 of the Premier League on Monday by hosting a gradually improving Leeds United team at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Seven points separate these two teams at present, with Everton, who are sitting in 11th spot, having the advantage over their visitors, who at the moment rank 16th. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Leeds won the reverse match, the first meeting of the campaign between the two teams, by a solitary goal back in August. They will now go in search of their first league double over Everton since 1990/91.
Despite a recent strong run, the Lillywhites aren’t the bookmakers’ best bet to win this, though the Toffees aren’t overwhelming favorites either. Both teams are coming off wins crucial to their individual ambitions, with Everton beating in-form Aston Villa as Leeds overcame Fulham. At home in this fixture, Everton have a superb record, losing just once in 16.
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Everton v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.15 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.18 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.2 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 3 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Everton and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Everton vs Leeds match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/01/2026 between Everton and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.89% for a win of Everton against Leeds with odds of 2.6 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Everton vs Leeds is 38.36% with odds of 3.24 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Everton with odds of 3.18 at 888Starz.
Everton - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Everton Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.36% | 3.24 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 54.22% | 2.26 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 65.42% | |
| Half-time : Everton / Full-time : Leeds | 14% | 15 at Bet365 |
Everton vs Leeds Form
Everton and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Everton and Leeds Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
24 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Everton vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Feb 2023 - Premier League
30 Aug 2022 - Premier League
12 Feb 2022 - Premier League
21 Aug 2021 - Premier League
3 Feb 2021 - Premier League
Everton - Leeds: Form Analysis
Few wins in recent weeks have impacted Everton’s quest for European football. David Moyes’ men have won twice in their last eight games and have lost four. One of those losses came in the FA Cup, ending their campaign at the first hurdle.
The Toffees had a positive response to that cup exit as they produced a shock 1-0 victory away to title-chasing Aston Villa. That win, their first in 2026, moved Everton up to 32 points and kept them within two points of sixth spot. Everton lost to Leeds United in the earlier stages of the season.
Leeds United have lost just once in their previous 10 outings.
Leeds United are slowly strengthening their chances of survival after an alarming start to the season. Daniel Farke’s men have clawed their way out of the relegation zone and now have some breathing space. With 25 points accumulated, the Whites sit five points ahead of the bottom three teams.
They will be keen to widen the gap with each fixture now very key to their targets. Leeds defeated Fulham 1-0 at home last weekend and have now won their last two matches. The win followed a 3-1 victory over Derby County in the FA Cup.
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Everton against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
M. Travers
DefenderS. Coleman
A. Aznou
MidfielderK. Dewsbury-Hall
M. Rohl
J. Branthwaite
C. Alcaraz
ForwardBeto
T. Dibling
L. Perri
DefenderS. Byram
MidfielderF. Buonanotte
S. Longstaff
A. Tanaka
N. Okafor
J. Piroe
G. Wilfried
L. Nmecha
Missing players
M. Keane
MidfielderT. Iroegbunam
G. Gudmundsson
J. Bijol
ForwardD. James
Everton & Leeds Squad Analysis
Iliman Ndiaye and Idrissa Gueye are available for Everton after a successful AFCON tournament with Senegal. The duo brings much-needed experience and stability. Ndiaye has scored four league goals and provided two assists.
Thierno Barry was the match winner against Villa last time out, and he too has netted four times in the league. Jack Grealish has been the main spark for Everton this season and has been involved in eight league goals. He, however, is dealing with a foot injury and is likely to miss this match. Charly Alcaraz, Jarrad Branthwaite, and Tim Iroegbunam are still out injured.
Michael Keane will be serving the last of his three-match ban.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been the driving force in Leeds’ recent upturn in fortunes. The English forward has scored eight of his nine league goals in the last 10 matches. A former Evertonian, Calvert-Lewin, will most likely lead the line at Hill Dickinson. Lucas Nmecha, who netted the winner against Everton in the reverse game, came off the bench to score the decisive goal against Fulham last weekend.
With five goals, the German could again be used as an impact sub in this game. Leeds have a shorter injury list than their hosts, with long-term absentees Dan James and Jaka Bijol still sidelined. Anton Stach missed the win over Fulham with a muscular injury and is also unavailable.
Most goals and assists
Everton
Leeds
Beto
(9 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
J. Garner
(7 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Everton - Leeds Key Points
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in the last three meetings between Everton and Leeds.
- Leeds have conceded more than one goal once in their last eight outings.
- Everton scored more than a goal in just two of their last eight games.
- Six of Everton’s last eight games have seen under 2.5 goals.
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Our Everton vs Leeds Prediction
Our prediction for Everton v Leeds United is for less than 2.5 goals. This fixture has seen a low-scoring outcome lately, with no team managing more than one goal in the last three meetings. We feel this recent detail will remain in this latest meeting after seeing how both teams have fared in the lead-up to this match.
Leeds have improved tremendously on both ends of the pitch. They have been robust at the back and have made it extremely difficult for their opponents to be free-flowing. The visitors will most likely frustrate their hosts, who have struggled with their offense and are missing key players.
Everton vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
Leeds United to win
For our second prediction, we pick Leeds United to win. Leeds won the reverse match and have also recorded back-to-back victories coming into this clash. With Everton struggling to win matches and suffering more losses than any other result in recent outings, an away victory looks feasible.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Everton Leeds
| Everton vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins | 2.2 | 2.6 | +18.2% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.24 | +4.5% |
| Leeds wins | 3.3 | 3.18 | -3.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 30.9% (-1.4%)
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Everton vs Leeds - FAQs
This match will be played on Monday, 26 January.
This match will be played at Everton’s Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool, England.
This match will be live on Sky Sports for UK fans. Live updates for it and other Premier League matches will also be found on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
