Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon will be looking to keep Primeira Liga leaders FC Porto within touching distance when they travel to Estoril. The hosts, on the other hand, arrive for this match placed 12th and looking to bag points from their second-placed visitors.
We have a prediction for the match below. Estoril’s only win of the season was against the bottom-placed AFS. It will be a massive leap for them if they can avoid defeat here.
Estoril fell to high-flying Gil Vicente in the last match and will have to dust themselves off in time for another top-four opponent. They did try to contain Gil Vicente after their 15th-minute penalty but were caught out on 85 minutes when searching for the equalizer.
Sporting will be going for a routine win in this game. The champions have had their struggles this season but seem to have found their footing in time to keep competitors in check.
Heading into this game, Sporting thrashed Moreirense 3-0, netting 3+ goals for the third time in five matches. This also marked their third straight victory after their loss to league leaders Porto.
While there’s no cause to panic as yet, Sporting will be concerned that they have only managed one clean sheet in the last five matches. The champions failed to score just once this season, in their Super Cup game against Benfica.
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The Best Betting Odds for Estoril v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 6.25 | 1.19 |
|
|
11 | 6 | 1.22 |
|
|
10 | 5.5 | 1.25 |
|
|
11 | 6 | 1.22 |
|
|
10.5 | 6.25 | 1.23 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Estoril and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Estoril and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.47% for a win of Estoril against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 11 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon is 14.8% with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 71.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril with odds of 1.26 at LSbet.
Estoril - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Estoril Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 71.73% | 1.26 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.42% | 1.47 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 34.03% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Estoril and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
28 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
|
9
|
13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Estoril and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Sept 2024 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
5 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
2 Sept 2022 - Liga Portugal
Estoril against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
G. Costa
MidfielderXeka
J. Orellana
D. Braganca
ForwardN. Santos
Most goals and assists
Estoril
Sporting Lisbon
Y. Begraoui
(5 Goals)
P. Goncalves
(8 Goals)
, 
L. Suarez
(8 Goals)
J. Holsgrove
(3 Assists)
,
J. Carvalho
(3 Assists)
G. Quenda
(5 Assists)
Estoril - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Sporting have six wins in their last eight matches.
- Both teams scored in three of Estoril’s last five matches.
- Both teams scored in four of Sporting’s last five matches.
- Sporting Lisbon have three clean sheets only in eight matches.
- Sporting conceded at least once in five of their last seven matches.
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Our Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Sporting Lisbon come into this game expected to blast past Estoril. In their latest meeting, Sporting ran out 3-1 winners. While they have been dominant in this fixture and are expected to bag three points, Sporting haven't been very strong defensively.
Estoril, playing at home, will definitely look to take advantage here. Beating Sporting might be a target too high, but the hosts have the capability to get a goal. Our prediction for Estoril v Sporting Lisbon is for Sporting to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estoril Sporting Lisbon
| Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins | 9 | 11 | +22.2% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 6.25 | +8.7% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.25 | 1.19 | -4.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 84.0% (4.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
