Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Despite a trophyless season, Benfica Lisbon will be looking for a historical finish on the final day, as the only team in Europe to remain unbeaten. Mourinho’s men may have let Estoril score in the earlier fixture, but we’re confident that The Eagles won’t let in a single goal on Saturday. Check out our best Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon match prediction below.
Benfica enters the final day with a remarkable 22-11-0 record. While they missed out on the title to Porto, José Mourinho has transformed The Eagles into a defensive juggernaut, conceding just 24 goals all season, the second-fewest in the league.
With the chance to become the first side in modern Liga Portugal history to complete an entire 34-game campaign without a single loss, maintaining their defensive focus will be the top priority. On the other hand, Estoril (9th) has enjoyed a comfortable mid-table season, but they are stumbling toward the finish line.
The Canaries are currently on a seven-match winless streak and have failed to score in two of their last four games. While they managed a consolation goal in their 3-1 loss at the Luz in January, facing a Benfica side determined to protect a historic season is a much tougher task.
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Estoril v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9.6 | 6 | 1.26 |
|
|
10.5 | 6.6 | 1.24 |
|
|
11 | 6.75 | 1.23 |
|
|
9.5 | 5.75 | 1.25 |
|
|
9.4 | 5.8 | 1.26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estoril and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon match is: BTTS: No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between Estoril and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 11.87% for a win of Estoril against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 11 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon is 30.04% with odds of 6.75 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Estoril with odds of 1.36 at Shangrila.
Estoril - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Estoril Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 58.09% | 1.36 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.44% | |
| Both Team To Score | 80.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 27.61% | 1.75 at LSbet |
Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Estoril and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
|
10
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -3 |
Estoril and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2024 - Portugal League Cup
7 Oct 2023 - Liga Portugal
Estoril against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Dias
DefenderJ. Montes
P. Amaral
K. Boma
N. Lominadze
R. Guitane
Luis Gomes
ForwardA. Marques
Peixinho
S. Soares
DefenderA. Silva
A. Dedic
G. Sudakov
L. Barreiro
M. Silva
F. Ivanovic
ForwardD. Lukebakio
Bruma
Missing players
L. Bimai
J. Neto
MidfielderJ. Veloso
Most goals and assists
Estoril
Benfica Lisbon
Y. Begraoui
(20 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(22 Goals)
J. Carvalho
(9 Assists)
A. Schjelderup
(6 Assists)
Estoril - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Benfica remains the only unbeaten team in the league (22 wins, 11 draws).
- The Eagles have kept the 3rd-most clean sheets this season (14).
- Benfica have conceded the fewest away goals this season (11).
- Estoril are goalless in two of their last four league games.
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Our Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Completing an unbeaten season is a rare feat that requires total concentration from The Eagles, especially at the back. Estoril, with nothing to play for and appearing to have checked out for the summer, lacks the offensive spark to break down a Mourinho-led defense that is playing for a legacy.
Given Benfica Lisbon's superior organization and Estoril’s recent poor form, we don't see the hosts causing any trouble in the final third. Hence, our Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon prediction is BTTS: No.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estoril Benfica Lisbon
| Estoril vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins | 8.1 | 11 | +35.8% |
| Draw | 5.9 | 6.75 | +14.4% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.31 | 1.36 | +3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 73.5% (-2.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Estoril vs. Benfica Lisbon game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
