Europe - Women's Euro
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Women's Euro Predictions
England will look to make it back-to-back finals as they play dark horses Italy on Tuesday in Geneva in the first semi-final of the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 competition. This match between the Lionesses and Le Azzurre comes with our prediction of goals from both teams. The winner will progress to the final on July 27 to play the winner of the second semi-final, which will be played between Germany and Spain.
The defending champions, England, rallied from 2-0 down to level 2-2 in regular time and then won via penalties against Sweden in the quarter-final. The loss further amplified concerns about their defensive struggles, which Italy could look to take advantage of. The Italians scored first in each of their four matches in this Euros edition and will look to put England under more pressure.
On offer is a chance for Italy to reach the final of this competition for the first time since 1997, while England are in their seventh appearance at this stage of the Euros. Which side will the wind blow? Read further for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for England W v Italy W Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.5 | 4.33 | 6 |
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1.5 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
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1.5 | 4 | 5.5 |
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1.5 | 4 | 5.5 |
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1.48 | 4.35 | 6.25 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between England W and Italy W?
Our prediction for the England W vs Italy W match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/07/2025 between England W and Italy W in Women's Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.04% for a win of England W against Italy W with odds of 1.51 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England W vs Italy W is 12.6% with odds of 4.57 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy W vs England W with odds of 6.64 at 22bet.
England W vs Italy W Form
England W and Italy W Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
13 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
9 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
5 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
29 Jun 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
9 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
29 Jun 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
26 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
5 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
16 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
11 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
7 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
29 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
25 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
7 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jul 2025 - Women's Euro
3 Jun 2025 - Women's Nations League
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
England W vs Italy W Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
27 Feb 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
England W - Italy W: Form Analysis
England fell two goals down within 25 minutes against Sweden and looked out of place, but two strikes between the 79th and 81st minutes from Lucia Bronze and Michelle Agyemang took the game deeper.
It was Hannah Hampton’s brilliance under the sticks that won the game for England, but they will hope it doesn’t get too close this time. The result makes it two wins, one draw, and a loss in regular time in this competition. The loss to France on matchday one meant England finished second in Group D with six points.
Italy have scored multiple goals in just one of their four matches in this competition!
That came in their 2-1 win over Norway in the quarter-final, where a 90th-minute goal from Cristiana Girelli earned Italy a win during regular time. The win still makes them dark horses for this encounter, as Italy could only finish second in Group B of this competition behind Spain with four points (W1, D1, L1).
Their only loss in this edition came against Spain on matchday three (3-1), although they scored first even in that match! In fact, Italy have scored first in all four of their matches so far, netting just once in their first three fixtures.
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England W vs Italy W last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
England W & Italy W Squad Analysis
England are going through a few fitness concerns, not the least around their captain, Leah Williamson. The Lionesses are still optimistic that she will play, while niggles for Lucy Bronze and Lauren James in the win against Sweden remain concerns.
Chloe Kelly had a great impact for England coming off the bench against Sweden and could be set for a starting role. Jess Carter’s struggles in the defensive unit may prompt a reshuffle. Their 4-3-3 formation could still hinge on Alessia Russo’s impact as the central striker, aiming to add to her stats of one goal and three assists here.
Italy’s fortunes revolve around Cristiana Girelli, who netted three goals in this competition!
Those include two in the quarter-final for the 35-year-old, and the Italians could go aggressive with their 3-4-3 formation or control the midfield with a 3-5-2 system. They have even lined up in a 4-4-1-1 system, and Girelli’s performance has been central to their winning chances.
Ariana Caruso and Manuela Guigliano could be crucial to Italy’s chances if they line up in a defensive formation, especially as they start right behind Girelli and are likely to control the centre of the pitch.
Most goals and assists
England W
Italy W
L. James
(2 Goals)
,
G. Stanway
(2 Goals)
,
E. Toone
(2 Goals)
C. Girelli
(3 Goals)
A. Russo
(4 Assists)
S. Cantore
(2 Assists)
England W - Italy W Key Points
- Three of England’s last four matches at this tournament have seen both teams score goals.
- England have scored in 12 consecutive matches.
- Italy have scored in 13 of their last 14 matches including five in a row.
- Italy’s last three matches have returned goals from both teams.
- Six of Italy’s last nine matches in all competitions and friendlies have returned goals from both teams.
- The last three matches between these sides have returned BTTS.
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Our England W vs Italy W Prediction
England made a miraculous recovery from being two goals down to defeat Sweden via penalties. While the confidence will be high for the defending champions, there are enough concerns in the camp about their defensive struggles. Italy have opened the scoring in all four of their matches in the Euros so far and will fancy their chances of doing so once again here.
With both England and Italy coming to the semis boosted by a rich scoring form, there are bound to be goals here. Our England W vs Italy W prediction is both teams to score.
England W vs Italy W - Other Interesting Predictions
Alessia Russo to score anytime
Alessia Russo continues to be the fulcrum of England’s attack, although she couldn’t get a goal during regular time against Sweden. She did score one in the penalty shootout, and that made it four goals and four assists for Russo in her last six national games. She looks primed to add more here.
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England W vs Italy W match : Frequently asked questions
The England Women vs Italy Women UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 fixture will be shown live on ITV 1 and ITV X in the UK. In Italy, it is RAI PLAY that will show this game live.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 Livescore page!
England had won seven of their last ten matches against Italy in all competitions, drawing one and losing just two. The last meeting between these teams was in February 2024, when England won comfortably by a 5-1 scoreline.
That said, Italy have had the upper hand at the Euros, with the side winning each of the two matches they played against England in this competition, in 1987 and 2009.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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