ATP - Stockholm Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Third seed Denis Shapovalov faces Swedish wild card Elias Ymer in the Stockholm Open quarter-final. The winner will be up against either second seed Casper Ruud or unseeded Sebastian Korda in the last four. Here's our match prediction.
The third seed had a struggle in his opening match in this Stockholm Open. He defeated Swedish wild card Leo Borg but it took him three sets. The Canadian dropped the middle set but only lost one game in the decider.
Shapovalov is 23rd in the live rankings with a 19-12 hard court record in 2025. He’s won two ATP hard court titles this year. A win here will see him in his fourth semi-final of the year but first since July.
Elias Ymer has mainly played in clay court tournaments this year and on the Challenger Tour. This is the first time in 2025 that he's made it past round one of an ATP Tour event. In the latest rankings, he was only 243rd after losing his last eight matches.
Round one saw him beat his younger brother Mikael in straight sets. Thursday saw him cause a surprise when defeating Jacob Fearnley for the loss of only four games and is now 200th in the live list.
We tip Shapovalov to win this match in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Elias Ymer v Denis Shapovalov Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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4.5 | 1.2 |
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4 | 1.25 |
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3.75 | 1.3 |
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3.7 | 1.25 |
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4 | 1.25 |
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Who will win the Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov match is: Denis Shapovalov to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov game on 17/10/2025 of the current Stockholm Open season:
- Elias Ymer has a 31.17% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.5.
- Denis Shapovalov has a 68.83% probability of winning facing Elias Ymer ⭐ with odds of 1.3 at Betway.
Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Elias Ymer has a 31.17 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | 31.17 % |
| Denis Shapovalov | 68.83 % |
Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Elias Ymer and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
14 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
29 Sept 2025 - Braga, Portugal, Qualifying
23 Sept 2025 - Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying
15 Sept 2025 - ATP Challenger Bad Waltersdorf, Austria Men Single
8 Sept 2025 - Szczecin, Poland
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
24 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Elias Ymer - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Shapovalov has won two ATP Tour hard court titles this year.
- Ymer is 177 places below his opponent in the live rankings.
- Ymer only has a career-high of 105th.
- Ymer hadn't made it past round one of an ATP Tour event before this tournament.
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Our Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
It's been a big week for Elias Ymer who has been delighting the Stockholm fans. The Swedish wild card has previously gone deep in this tournament and is again going well. This is his best run on the ATP Tour this year.
Now he has to face the third seed Denis Shapovalov who has won two ATP Tour hard court titles in 2025. The Canadian remains in good form and our Elias Ymer v Denis Shapovalov prediction is Denis Shapovalov to win in straight sets.
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Try your luck on this year's Stockholm Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
