Elche vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
Elche’s impressive home record will test Villarreal’s resolve in remaining in the La Liga title race as the sides meet in a matchday 18 fixture on Saturday. This match in Elche between the ninth-placed Los Franjiverdes and the fourth-placed Yellow Submarine comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.
Elche have 22 points from 17 matches (W5, D7, L5) and are one point behind seventh. Villarreal’s 35 points from 16 matches (W11, D2, L3) keep them two points behind third, although with two games in hand.
Elche won 4-0 at home against Rayo Vallecano to go into the winter break on a high. They have two wins from their last three league games, recovering from a winless seven-game sequence between October and November.
They still remain the team to beat at this venue, as Elche are unbeaten in nine home league games this season (W5, D4).
Villarreal were beaten 2-0 at home by Barcelona before the winter break, a result that ended a six-game winning sequence in La Liga. They are yet to lose consecutive league games this season and are also firmly in the title race.
That would need Villarreal to keep winning, and the Yellow Submarine have four wins from their last five league trips (L1), including three in a row, each time scoring 2+ goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Elche v Villarreal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Elche and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Elche vs Villarreal match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Elche and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.24% for a win of Elche against Villarreal with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Elche vs Villarreal is 27.54% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Elche with odds of 2.35 at Stake.
Elche - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Elche Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 46.24% | 3.55 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.72% | 2 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | 1.68 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Elche | 20.12% | 8 at Unibet |
Elche vs Villarreal Form
Elche and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
38 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
|
9
|
22 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
Elche and Villarreal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
28 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
7 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
28 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
Elche vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2022 - LaLiga
16 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
22 Sept 2021 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2021 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2020 - LaLiga
Elche against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
F. Redondo
L. Costa
W. Kambwala
R. Veiga
MidfielderT. Partey
T. Buchanan
ForwardP. Cabanes
Most goals and assists
Elche
Villarreal
R. Mir
(6 Goals)
A. Moleiro
(7 Goals)
A. Rodriguez
(4 Assists)
G. Mikautadze
(3 Assists)
,
A. Perez
(3 Assists)
,
S. Cardona
(3 Assists)
,
A. Pedraza
(3 Assists)
, 
N. Pepe
(3 Assists)
Elche - Villarreal Key Points
- Four of Elche’s last five league games produced more than 2.5 goals.
- Elche’s last three home league fixtures produced three or more goals.
- Four of Villarreal’s last six competitive games saw more than two goals scored.
- Villarreal scored 2+ goals in four of their last five away league games.
- Four of the last five league games between these sides saw over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Elche vs Villarreal Prediction
Villarreal are still alive in the title race, but they can’t afford to drop points. Elche can be a tricky opponent in that aspect, as they have shown with two wins out of their last three league games. Both those victories came at home, and in fact, Elche are unbeaten at home this season. Villarreal’s impressive away record will be on the line here, along with their chances of staying in the title hunt.
Goals could be the name of the game, and our Elche vs Villarreal prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Elche Villarreal
| Elche vs Villarreal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elche wins | 3.75 | 3.1 | -17.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| Villarreal wins | 1.95 | 2.25 | +15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Elche is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 32.3% (5.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Elche vs. Villarreal game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
