Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Brisbane
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Fifth seed Madison Keys and 12th seed Diana Shnaider will play each other in the third round of the 2026 Brisbane International. This is their third meeting, and the winner will set up a quarterfinal showdown with Aryna Sabalenka or Sorana Cirstea. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Diana Shnaider had a far better start to her return to Brisbane than she did in her previous two appearances. The Russian, who had never won a match here before this season, defeated Anastasia Potapova in her opening fixture.
She won by the loss of four games, posting the right start to the new year. Shnaider had a rather disappointing campaign last season. She ended with a 28-25 record and finished ranked outside the WTA’s top 20.
Madison Keys had a strong run in 2025 and returned to the WTA top 10. She finished the year as the seventh-best-placed player in the world, the first time she had finished a calendar year in the top 10 since 2016.
The American won 37 matches last term and became a major champion for the first time after winning the Australian Open.
After also winning in Adelaide, she will feel competing in Australia as a lucky charm, especially as she is a former Brisbane finalist. Keys defeated McCartney Kessler in straight sets in the last round.
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The Best Betting Odds for Diana Shnaider v Madison Keys Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.38 | 1.57 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.2 | 1.67 |
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2.25 | 1.65 |
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2.4 | 1.53 |
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Who will win the Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys match is: Madison Keys wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys game on 08/01/2026 of the current WTA Brisbane season:
- Diana Shnaider has a 39.49% chance to win against Madison Keys according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 2.4.
- Madison Keys has a 60.51% probability of winning facing Diana Shnaider ⭐ with odds of 1.67 at Unibet.
Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Diana Shnaider has a 39.49 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | 39.49 % |
| Madison Keys | 60.51 % |
Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys Form
Diana Shnaider and Madison Keys Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
5 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
22 Oct 2025 - Japan Women's Open
20 Oct 2025 - Japan Women's Open
18 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
17 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
15 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
5 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
3 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
1 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
25 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
13 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
13 Jun 2025 - WTA London - Queen's
21 Mar 2024 - WTA Miami
Diana Shnaider - Madison Keys Key Points
- Keys has won over 250 fixtures on hard courts.
- Keys has defeated Shnaider both times they have previously met.
- Shnaider has lost eight of nine previous duels with top-10 opposition.
- One of Keys’ victories against Shnaider was achieved on a hard court.
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Our Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keys Prediction
Our prediction for Diana Shnaider v Madison Keys is that Madison Keys wins. Keys has won both times she has previously faced off with Shnaider. Coupling this dominant record in this fixture with her comfort level when competing on hard courts, Keys looks primed for another win.
Keys’ chances of a win are also significantly boosted by Shnaider’s poor record when competing against the WTA’s top players. The Russian has won just one of the nine duels she has contested against top 10 opposition.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.