Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League
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by Steve Ashfield in Football Predictions
St Patrick's Athletic went top of the Irish Premier Division after their home win over Galway United. They now travel to Derry City who are fifth in the table but only two points behind their opponents. Read our match prediction.
The away side lead the table by one point from Drogheda United. Six of their 13 league games this season have ended in victory but only two have come on their travels. Their six away league games have only seen 12 goals scored.
Six goals have been scored on the road but the same number conceded. Before the home win over Galway United, Athletic had gone three league games without a win. Four of their last six matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
Derry City should be tough opponents for the league leaders. They have won three of their last four matches played in the Irish Premier Division and most recently beat Shelbourne 2-0 at home.
That was their fourth home league win in seven games this season. The last two have been won with five goals scored and none conceded. Six of their last seven home league games against St Patrick's Athletic have been won. We tip them to get the victory.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derry City v St Patricks Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.88 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.9 | 3.3 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3 | 3.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derry City and St Patricks?
Our prediction for the Derry City vs St Patricks match is: Derry City to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/05/2025 between Derry City and St Patricks in Airtricity League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.32% for a win of Derry City against St Patricks with odds of 2.4 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derry City vs St Patricks is 21.32% with odds of 3.13 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.36% chance ⭐ for a win of St Patricks vs Derry City with odds of 4 at Bet365.
Derry City - St Patricks Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derry City St Patricks Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derry City wins | 45.32% | 2.4 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.44% | 2.5 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.5% | |
| Half-time: St Patricks / Full-time: Derry City | 16.77% | 35 at Betsson |
Derry City vs St Patricks Form
Derry City and St Patricks's standings in the Airtricity League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
37 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
|
6
|
31 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Derry City and St Patricks Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Airtricity League
25 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
22 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
18 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
11 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
4 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Airtricity League
22 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
11 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
4 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
7 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
18 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
15 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
3 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
14 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Airtricity League
25 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
21 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
18 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
11 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
4 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Airtricity League
18 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
4 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
14 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
3 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
21 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
11 Apr 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
7 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
21 Feb 2025 - Airtricity League
Derry City vs St Patricks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
25 Oct 2024 - Airtricity League
21 Jul 2024 - FAI Cup
17 May 2024 - Airtricity League
22 Apr 2024 - Airtricity League
1 Mar 2024 - Airtricity League
Derry City - St Patricks Key Points
- Derry City have won three of their last four home league games.
- Derry City have kept two successive home clean sheets.
- St Patrick's Athletic have lost six of their last seven league visits to Derry City.
- St Patrick's Athletic have lost three of theiir six away league games this season.
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Our Derry City vs St Patricks Prediction
Derry City can continue their recent good form in the Irish Premier Division. A form guide for the last five league games has them top of the table. Their home form is strong with four wins and two successive clean sheets.
St Patrick's Athletic are the league leaders but they are only two points above their opponents. It's their home form that has taken them to the summit of this division. Their away form has only produced two wins withh three losses. Our Derry City v St Patrick's Athletic prediction is Derry City to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derry City St Patricks
| Derry City vs St Patricks | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City wins | 2.25 | 2.05 | -8.9% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0% |
| St Patricks wins | 3.25 | 4 | +23.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derry City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 48.8% (4.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Derry City vs. St Patricks game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Derry City and St Patricks? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Airtricity League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
