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Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction & Betting Tips - Airtricity League

Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League

Derry City
26/10/2025 10:00
Shamrock Rovers

Prediction :

 

Derry City wins

 
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 by Ian John in Football Predictions

Sunday sees the biggest game of the Irish Premier League season as Derry City seek to stop Shamrock Rovers from claiming the league title. Brandywell Stadium will be packed to the rafters as the Candystripes attempt to deny many a match prediction stating that the visiting Rovers will clinch the title at the home of their closest rivals. 

The league table makes it abundantly clear of the task facing the home side. Derry lie second in the table having played 34 games amassing 57 points. With two games remaining, they trail Shamrock by six points and have a 13-worse goal difference. Shamrock have played just 33 games and have 63 points, meaning they need just one point from their final three games to be assured of the title.

Derry come into this game as the form team however. They are unbeaten in eight games and that run includes a 1-1 draw away to Drogheda City, followed by a 1-0 home win over Sligo Rovers and then last week, Derry earned a 2-1 qin away at struggling Waterford to keep the title alive.

In contrast, Shamrock come into this game suffering a slump in form. Since beating Kerry 6-1 in the FAI Cup semi-final, they have lost their next three games without scoring a goal. That includes a 1-0 home reverse to Shelbourne followed by a 1-0 loss away to St. Patrick's Athletic and in midweek, they went down to a 2-0 defeat at home to Celje in the Europa Conference League.

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The Best Betting Odds for Derry City v Shamrock Rovers Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.55 3 2.9
Betfred
2.5 2.88 2.75
William Hill
2.62 3 2.62
Betway
2.5 3 2.8
Unibet
2.32 3.1 3
Check all Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers?

Our prediction for the Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers match is: Derry City wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2025 between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers in Airtricity League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.76% for a win of Derry City against Shamrock Rovers with odds of 2.75 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers is 46.86% with odds of 3.1 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City with odds of 3 at Unibet.

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Form

Derry City and Shamrock Rovers's standings in the Airtricity League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
63 33 18 9 6 24
2
Derry City
Derry City
57 34 16 9 9 11

Derry City and Shamrock Rovers Last Matches

Derry City
Derry City Last matches
D W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  2
Derry City

5 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  0
Sligo Rovers

26 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Drogheda United
1 :  1
Derry City

19 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

12 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Bohemians Dublin
3 :  4
Derry City

29 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
2 :  2
St Patricks
D D D D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  0
Sligo Rovers

19 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

29 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
2 :  2
St Patricks

16 Aug 2025 - FAI Cup

Derry City
1 :  1
Drogheda United

8 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
0 :  0
Cork City

25 Jul 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  1
Bohemians Dublin
W L W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  2
Derry City

26 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Drogheda United
1 :  1
Derry City

12 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Bohemians Dublin
3 :  4
Derry City

22 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League

Galway United FC
1 :  2
Derry City

3 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
2 :  0
Derry City

18 Jul 2025 - FAI Cup

Treaty United
1 :  5
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers Last matches
W W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Shamrock Rovers
0 :  2
NK Celje

17 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
1 :  0
Shamrock Rovers

10 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
0 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

5 Oct 2025 - FAI Cup

Shamrock Rovers
6 :  1
Kerry FC

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Sparta Prague
4 :  1
Shamrock Rovers

26 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
2 :  1
Bohemians Dublin
W D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Shamrock Rovers
0 :  2
NK Celje

10 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
0 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

5 Oct 2025 - FAI Cup

Shamrock Rovers
6 :  1
Kerry FC

26 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
2 :  1
Bohemians Dublin

31 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
2 :  1
Drogheda United

28 Aug 2025 - Conference League

Shamrock Rovers
0 :  0
Santa Clara
W D D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League

St Patricks
1 :  0
Shamrock Rovers

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Sparta Prague
4 :  1
Shamrock Rovers

22 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Waterford United
1 :  2
Shamrock Rovers

19 Sep 2025 - Airtricity League

Cork City
1 :  1
Shamrock Rovers

12 Sep 2025 - FAI Cup

Drogheda United
1 :  1
Shamrock Rovers

21 Aug 2025 - Conference League

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Shamrock Rovers

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derry City

0 %

Draw

33 %

Shamrock Rovers

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (home team)
1.5
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

3 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
2 :  0
Derry City

23 May 2025 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  2
Shamrock Rovers

28 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
0 :  0
Derry City

20 Sep 2024 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  1
Shamrock Rovers

20 May 2024 - Airtricity League

Shamrock Rovers
1 :  0
Derry City

19 Apr 2024 - Airtricity League

Derry City
1 :  3
Shamrock Rovers
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Derry City - Shamrock Rovers Key Points

  1. Derry are unbeaten in their last eight league games (W4, D4).
  2. Shamrock have lost all their last three games without scoring a goal.
  3. Derry must win the game to ensure Shamrock do not win the title and to also keep their distant title hopes alive.
  4. Shamrock have won just one of their last five away games in the Irish Premier League (D3, L1).
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Our Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction

Our prediction for the Derry City vs. Shamrock Rovers League of Ireland Premier Division match is: Derry City wins.

If you take an overall view of the season, you would back Shamrock to get the point they need, or more, from this game. However, their recent form under Stephen Bradley is very concerning with no goals and three defeats in a row. Derry will be backed by a vociferous home crowd and while a win would only delay the inevitable, they will want to keep the pressure on the visitors. We're backing them to land a dramatic narrow win.

Prediction :

 

Derry City wins

 
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Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction

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