Derby County vs Leicester Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
The East Midlands derby is on this Saturday as Derby County welcomes Leicester City for their next Championship match. In the run-up to this encounter, Derby are 11th in the standings, five places ahead of Leicester. Read on to find our prediction.
Derby have won six times in their last eight matches and will feel confident coming here. However, they are coming from a 2-1 loss to Middlesbrough, their second defeat in three matches.
That also marked the sixth straight game in which they failed to keep a clean sheet. The last time out at home, the Rams fell 3-2 to Watford and will want to improve on that, having won each of the earlier three home games.
Leicester City have struggled to settle back in the Championship following their relegation from the Premier League. The Foxes are five points away from the top six and just seven above the bottom three.
Their performances so far have put manager Marti Cifuentes under serious pressure, and back-to-back defeats haven't helped at all. The former Premier League champions are so out of form that they’ve managed just two wins in the last nine games.
Ahead of this match, they fell 3-2 to Sheffield United, conceding six goals in the last two outings. Leicester City hasn't managed a clean sheet in the last 12 matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Leicester Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.2 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.13 | 2.67 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.15 | 2.64 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Leicester?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Leicester match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/12/2025 between Derby County and Leicester in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.03% for a win of Derby County against Leicester with odds of 2.75 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Leicester is 27.56% with odds of 3.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Derby County with odds of 2.72 at Shangrila.
Derby County - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Leicester Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 42.03% | 2.75 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.16% | 2.3 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County | 21.93% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Leicester Form
Derby County and Leicester's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
38 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
|
13
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | -2 |
Derby County and Leicester Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
26 Sept 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2017 - FA Cup
27 Jan 2017 - FA Cup
Derby County against Leicester Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderR. Nyambe
C. Forsyth
D. Batth
C. Nelson
L. Thompson
C. Blackett-Taylor
A. Weimann
K. Jackson
A. Begovic
DefenderO. Aluko
W. Faes
MidfielderH. Choudhury
L. Page
P. Daka
J. Carranza
S. Thomas
J. Evans
Missing players
O. Beck
MidfielderD. Ozoh
ForwardC. Morris
H. Souttar
V. Kristiansen
MidfielderB. Soumare
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Leicester
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
J. James
(9 Goals)
J. Ward
(7 Assists)
I. Fatawu
(7 Assists)
Derby County - Leicester Key Points
- In Derby’s last six matches, both teams scored.
- Each of these teams scored in their last four meetings.
- In four of Leicester City’s last five games, both teams scored.
- Derby have scored 25 goals in the Championship and conceded as many.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Derby County vs Leicester Prediction
It has been eight years since these two teams last faced off. We still expect an intriguing battle out there, with bragging rights at stake. Derby have had a slightly better season than their visitors and will have that feeling of being the favorites coming here.
The one outstanding stat for both sides this season has been their defensive weaknesses, though they aren't poor in attack either. With that, we have a possibility of goals in the game. Our prediction for Derby County v Leicester City is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Leicester
| Derby County vs Leicester | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 3.15 | 2.75 | -12.7% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.25 | +4.8% |
| Leicester wins | 2.32 | 2.72 | +17.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.7% and is now 36.4% (4.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Derby County vs. Leicester game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Derby County and Leicester? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
