Mexico - Liga MX
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
The Mexican split season is underway, and among the games lined up, Deportivo Toluca is set to face Tigres UANL. Going into this round three encounter, hosts Toluca are at the top of the standings, while Tigres are seventh. We have a prediction for the match below.
Toluca are in fine shape coming into this encounter. They are unbeaten in the last eight matches, including four straight wins. Right ahead of this one, they impressively staged a comeback to beat Club America in the Campeon de Campeones final.
Shifting back to Liga, Toluca’s only concern will be the few clean sheets coming through their matches. They’ve conceded in the last three matches and kept clean sheets in just three of the last 10.
Tigres opened their campaign at this stage with a 1-0 win against Juarez. Playing at home, Jonathan Herrera’s goal was all they needed to secure three points.
Now the challenge gets tougher, as they set off for a trip against a team they haven't beaten in the last three meetings. Tigres have been the underdog in such recent meetings, and their run hasn’t been the best either.
In the team’s last 10 matches across all competitions, they won just three. Their latest defeat was inflicted by Toluca in the league, while in eight away matches, they are winless.
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The Best Betting Odds for Deportivo Toluca FC v Tigres UANL Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.55 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Tigres UANL?
Our prediction for the Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tigres UANL match is: Toluca to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/07/2025 between Deportivo Toluca FC and Tigres UANL in Liga MX :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.41% for a win of Deportivo Toluca FC against Tigres UANL with odds of 1.97 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tigres UANL is 37.51% with odds of 3.6 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tigres UANL Form
Deportivo Toluca FC and Tigres UANL's standings in the Liga MX
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|
7
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Deportivo Toluca FC and Tigres UANL Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jul 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones
16 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
12 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
25 May 2025 - Liga MX
22 May 2025 - Liga MX
17 May 2025 - Liga MX
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
25 May 2025 - Liga MX
17 May 2025 - Liga MX
10 May 2025 - Liga MX
19 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
6 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jul 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones
16 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
22 May 2025 - Liga MX
14 May 2025 - Liga MX
7 May 2025 - Liga MX
16 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
17 May 2025 - Liga MX
14 May 2025 - Liga MX
11 May 2025 - Liga MX
8 May 2025 - Liga MX
1 May 2025 - Concachampions
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jul 2025 - Liga MX
14 May 2025 - Liga MX
11 May 2025 - Liga MX
23 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
19 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
12 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - Liga MX
8 May 2025 - Liga MX
1 May 2025 - Concachampions
15 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
4 Apr 2025 - Liga MX
1 Apr 2025 - Concachampions
Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tigres UANL Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 May 2025 - Liga MX
14 May 2025 - Liga MX
1 Feb 2025 - Liga MX
6 Nov 2024 - Liga MX
2 Mar 2024 - Liga MX
4 Oct 2023 - Liga MX
Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tigres UANL last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Deportivo Toluca FC
Tigres UANL
Paulinho
(15 Goals)
J. Brunetta
(8 Goals)
A. Vega
(10 Assists)
J. Brunetta
(5 Assists)
Deportivo Toluca FC - Tigres UANL Key Points
- Toluca only lost three times against Tigres in the last 10 matches.
- Tigres managed just one win in their last seven matches.
- Both scored in eight of these teams’ last 10 meetings.
- Tigres are winless in their last eight away matches.
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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Tigres UANL Prediction
Tigres haven't managed a win in their last eight away matches, and facing an in-form Deportivo Toluca doesn’t hold much promise. The visitors won this fixture three times in their last 10 matches, but none of those came in their last three meetings.
Toluca, who won each of their last four matches, come here as favorites but will be concerned at their defensive performances. The hosts kept only three clean sheets in 10 matches. Our prediction for Deportivo Toluca v Tigres UANL is for Toluca to win to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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