ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions
Basel champion Joao Fonseca takes on Denis Shapovalov looking to repeat last week's win over the Canadian. The unseeded pair face each other in round one of the indoor hard court Paris Masters. Here's our match prediction.
Fonseca beat Shapovalov in the quarter-finals in Basel last week. The match went to a third set but his opponent retired when 4-1 down. The 19-year-old went on to win the title, the first ATP Tour hard court victory of this year. He'd already won a hard court Challenger Title in 2025.
That title triumph has taken Fonseca to a career-high 24th in the live rankings. He's won 27 of his 35 hard court matches in 2025
Denis Shapovalov will hopefully be back to full fitness for this tournament. The 26-year-old has won two ATP Tour hard court titles this year with success in both Dallas and Los Cabos. Before that retirement in Basel, he'd made it to the semi-finals in Stockholm earlier this month.
Shapovalov is just a place ahead of his opponent in the live rankings. You can see therefore why a close match is likely here in Paris. He has a 23-13 hard court record this year. We tip three sets to be played in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Denis Shapovalov v Joao Fonseca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2 | 1.8 |
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2.05 | 1.75 |
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2 | 1.75 |
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2.02 | 1.79 |
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Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca match is: three sets to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca game on 28/10/2025 of the current Rolex Paris Masters season:
- Denis Shapovalov has a 48.49% chance to win against Joao Fonseca according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.1.
- Joao Fonseca has a 51.51% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 1.8 at William Hill.
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 48.49 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 48.49 % |
| Joao Fonseca | 51.51 % |
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Form
Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
18 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
25 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
24 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
14 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
24 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Denis Shapovalov - Joao Fonseca Key Points
- Four of Shapovalov's last six matches have seen a third set played.
- That includes last week's match against Fonseca in Basel.
- Only one place separates these two players in the live rankings.
- Four of Shapovalov's last six matches in the Paris Masters have gone to three sets.
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca Prediction
Joao Fonseca had a great success in Basel last week and will have had some rest before starting the Paris Masters. The teenager is up to a career-high ranking and is also second in the Next Gen Race, a tournament he won last year.
On his way to the Basel title, Fonseca beat Shapovalov and that match went to three sets. Another close matchh is likely here between two well-matched players. Our Denis Shapovalov v Joao Fonseca prediction is three sets to be played.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Denis Shapovalov vs. Joao Fonseca game!
When you place a bet on the match between Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Denis Shapovalov or Joao Fonseca, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
