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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
After winning the title in Almaty last weekend, Danill Medvedev begins his Erste Open campaign. The sixth seed faces unseeded Nuno Borges in round one of this indoor hard court tournament being played in Vienna. Read our match prediction below.
The winner of this match will face either unseeded Corentin Moutet or qualifier Damir Dzumhur for a place in the last eight. Daniil Medvedev won his first title in 882 days last Sunday and it was Moutet who he beat in the final.
The Russian is now 13th in the live rankings and has a 27-14 hard court record for 2025. Each of his last four tournaments have seen him make it into at least the quarter-finals. The Almaty triumph was his first hard court final of the year.
To reach the second round, Nuno Borges needs to beat Medvedev for the first time. He's lost all three of their previous meetings, two on hard courts. The most recent match was in the 2024 US Open with Borges winning just four games in three sets.
The Portuguese player has won 18 of his 33 hard court matches this year. His most recent tournament saw him get to round four of the Shanghai Masters. Medvedev has had time to recover from Sunday and we tip him to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Daniil Medvedev v Nuno Borges Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 5 |
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1.22 | 4.2 |
|
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1.22 | 4.25 |
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1.22 | 3.9 |
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|
1.26 | 3.85 |
|
Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges match is: Medvedev to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges game on 22/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 78.75% chance to win against Nuno Borges according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.26.
- Nuno Borges has a 21.25% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 78.75 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 78.75 % |
| Nuno Borges | 21.25 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Form
Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
18 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
17 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
16 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
11 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
26 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
23 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
2 Sept 2024 - ATP US Open
17 Jun 2024 - ATP Halle Open
21 Jan 2024 - ATP Australian Open
Daniil Medvedev - Nuno Borges Key Points
- Medvedev won the Almaty title last Sunday.
- Medvedev has won 11 of his last 13 matches.
- Of his last 11 wins, eight were in straight sets.
- Medvedev has won all three of his previous matches against Borges, two on hard courts.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Prediction
Daniil Medvedev is in top form at present and is again looking to go deep in a hard court tournament. Last Sunday saw him beat Corentin Moutet to land his first ATP Tour hard court title since Indian Wells last year. He has an excellent record against Borges and should be able to continue that.
Nuno Borges made it to the last 16 in Shanghai, his second best hard court performance of the year. He will hope that Medvedev hasn't fully recovered from last week. Our Daniil Medvedev v Nuno Borges prediction is Daniil Medvedev to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
