ATP - ATP Vienna
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Just four days after they met in the Almaty final. unseeded Corentin Moutet has the chance to get revenge on sixth seed Daniil Medvedev. The chance for revenge comes in the second round of the Erste Open in Vienna. Here's our match prediction.
For the winner, there's a quarter-final against either fourth seed Lorenzo Musetti or unseeded Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
Daniil Medvedev is attempting to make it into his fifth successive hard court quarter-final. Sunday saw him beat Moutet in the Almaty final to win his first title on this surface in 2025. It took him three sets to do so.
Another three-setter came in round one of this indoor hard court tournament. Nuno Borges won the second set against Medvedev but the Russian won the decider 6-2. That's taken his 2025 hard court record to 28-14 and he's 13th in the live rankings.
Corentin Moutet got back into winning ways with a straight sets win over qualifier Damir Dzumhur in round one. He only lost three games, all of them in the first set. The Frenchman is now a career-high 34th in the live rankings.
Only Medvedev has beaten him in his last six matches. He trails his opponent 2-1 in previous meetings. His one win came in this year's Washington hard court tournament. We tip more than 22.5 games to be played.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Daniil Medvedev v Corentin Moutet Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 3 |
|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.38 | 3 |
|
|
1.4 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.43 | 2.88 |
|
Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet match is: more than 22.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet game on 23/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 62.77% chance to win against Corentin Moutet according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
- Corentin Moutet has a 37.23% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 3 at Bet365.
Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 62.77 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 62.77 % |
| Corentin Moutet | 37.23 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Form
Daniil Medvedev and Corentin Moutet Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
19 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
18 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
17 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
16 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
11 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
19 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
18 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
17 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
15 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
13 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
19 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open
26 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet Key Points
- More than 22.5 games have been played in the last two matches between these players.
- Six of Medvedev's last eight matches have seen more than 22.5 games played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Medvedev has played at least one in each of his last five matches.
- The last two matches between Medvedev and Moutet have gone to three sets.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Prediction
This is the third match in as many months between Daniil Medvedev and Corentin Moutet. The last two have both gone to a final set with over 22.5 games being played. That includes last weekend's final in Almaty.
Medvedev had a tough first round match and needed a third set to get past Nuno Borges. It was a lot easier for Corentin Moutet against Damir Dzumhur. Another close match between the pair looks likely. Our Daniil Medvedev v Corentin Moutet prediction is more than 22.5 games.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Daniil Medvedev vs. Corentin Moutet game!
When you place a bet on the match between Daniil Medvedev and Corentin Moutet you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Daniil Medvedev or Corentin Moutet, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
