Daniel Merida vs Taro Daniel Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Estoril Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
The weekend saw Daniel Merida Aguilar win his maiden ATP Tour title. This week sees him in the outdoor clay court Estoril Open and he faces qualifier Taro Daniel in round one. Daniel is over 130 places below his opponent and our prediction is Aguilar will win in straight sets.
In round two, the winner will be up against fourth seed Alexander Blockx.
Daniel Merida Aguilar had already won one Challenger Tour title this year before his weekend success in Umag. The title win has taken him to a career-high 59th in the rankings. H--s already improved on that and is 56th in the live list.
The 21-year-old has a 22-8 record on clay this year and has won all but one of his last ten matches on this surface.
Taro Daniel was down at 192nd in the latest rankings, but has been as high as 58th. He was a quarter-finalist in this tournament nine years ago. This is his first time in the Estoril Open since then.
The 33-year-old has won 21 of his 27 clay court matches this year with one Challenger Tour title won. He has only played two ATP Tour tournaments this year, with a best of round two in Bastad last week.
He had to win two qualifiers to reach this main draw, losing one set against Kyrian Jacquet.
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Daniel Merida v Taro Daniel Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.43 | 2.7 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.51 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.51 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.51 |
|
|
1.49 | 2.63 |
|
Who will win the Daniel Merida vs Taro Daniel Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniel Merida vs Taro Daniel match is: Daniel Merida Aguilar wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniel Merida vs Taro Daniel game on 21/07/2026 of the current ATP Estoril Open season:
- Daniel Merida has a 55.45% chance to win against Taro Daniel according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.53.
- Taro Daniel has a 44.55% probability of winning facing Daniel Merida ⭐ with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.
Daniel Merida vs Taro Daniel Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniel Merida has a 55.45 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniel Merida | 55.45 % |
| Taro Daniel | 44.55 % |
Daniel Merida vs Taro Daniel Form
Daniel Merida and Taro Daniel Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
18 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
17 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
16 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
14 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
19 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
18 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
14 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
13 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
12 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
16 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
Daniel Merida - Taro Daniel Key Points
- Daniel Merida Aguilar won the Umag title at the weekend.
- Daniel Merida Aguilar is ranked 133 places above his opponent.
- Daniel had to go to three sets to win his final qualifying round match.
- Daniel is playing in only his second ATP Tour main draw of the year.
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Our Daniel Merida vs Taro Daniel Prediction
Taro Daniel is making a rare appearance on the ATP Tour. He hasn't won a main draw match in a Grand Slam tournament since Roland garros in 2023. He has had success on the Chalenger Tour and reached round two in Bastad last week.
Daniel Merida Aguilar will be flying high after winning the Umag title at the weekend and setting a new career-high in the rankings. Our Daniel Merida Aguilar v Taro Daniel prediction is Daniel Merida Aguilar wins in straight sets.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Daniel Merida or Taro Daniel, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
