Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Cruzeiro are among the three sides that could ascend to the Brazilian Serie A summit this weekend. Second-placed La Bestia Negra will be hosting 11th-placed Gremio on Monday. Below we have a prediction for this match.
Cruzeiro are tied on points with league leaders Flamengo (24). Having failed to win twice in their last four Serie A matches, Cruzeiro will feel the need to stabilize.
With the league on a month-long recess, the hosts went on to play two friendly matches, winning one and losing the other. They will hope to carry on their recent good form in the league.
In the immediate seven Serie A matches, they are unbeaten, with five being wins. Their most recent Brasileiro Serie A outing saw them held to a 0-0 draw away from home against Vitoria.
Gremio are struggling in the lower half of the table. They missed a good chance to go higher when they drew 1-1 with Corinthians in their last outing. It is a result that halted their two-match winning streak.
Across the 12 matches played thus far, Gremio have managed just four wins. They also lost four and drew as many. It will be important for Cruzeiro to know the threat Gremio carry into this game.
In the last six matches across all competitions, the visitors are unbeaten. Their last away league outing saw them grab a 2-0 win over the team second from bottom, Juventude.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cruzeiro v Gremio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.7 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.6 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.6 | 5.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cruzeiro and Gremio?
Our prediction for the Cruzeiro vs Gremio match is: Cruzeiro to win and under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/07/2025 between Cruzeiro and Gremio in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.99% for a win of Cruzeiro against Gremio with odds of 1.66 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cruzeiro vs Gremio is 37.57% with odds of 3.75 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Gremio vs Cruzeiro with odds of 6.4 at Tonybet.
Cruzeiro - Gremio Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cruzeiro Gremio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro wins | 41.99% | 1.66 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.32% | 1.88 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 44.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Cruzeiro | 17.8% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Cruzeiro vs Gremio Form
Cruzeiro and Gremio's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
41 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
|
14
|
24 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -6 |
Cruzeiro and Gremio Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 Apr 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2025 - Recopa Gaucha
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2025 - Recopa Gaucha
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
13 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
Cruzeiro vs Gremio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2023 - Copa do Brasil
17 May 2023 - Copa do Brasil
22 Apr 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Cruzeiro against Gremio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Cruzeiro
Gremio
K. Jorge
(15 Goals)
M. Braithwaite
(7 Goals)
M. Pereira
(5 Assists)
C. Pavon
(3 Assists)
Cruzeiro - Gremio Key Points
- Cruzeiro registered five wins in their last seven league matches.
- Gremio have lost three of their five away league matches so far.
- Gremio’s last eight away matches this season across all competitions produced only one win.
- Three of Cruzeiro’s last four in the league produced under 2.5 goals.
- The last four meetings between these teams, hosted at Cruzeiro, had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Cruzeiro vs Gremio Prediction
These two are having contrasting fortunes in the season; Cruzeiro are targeting a win here, which could take them to the top of the standings. Meanwhile, Gremio hope for a win just to bring some more stability to their results.
In terms of recent form, Cruzeiro will be the clear favorites, having posted five wins in their last seven matches in the league. They are unbeaten in those seven matches while their visitors have only managed four wins so far in the season. Both sides haven't been scoring a lot, though. Our prediction for Cruzeiro v Gremio is for Cruzeiro to win and under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cruzeiro Gremio
| Cruzeiro vs Gremio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro wins | 1.83 | 1.62 | -11.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.7 | +5.7% |
| Gremio wins | 4.33 | 6.25 | +44.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cruzeiro is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 61.7% (7.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Cruzeiro vs. Gremio game!
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Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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