Como 1907 vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Serie A Predictions
Como 1907 returns to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia to host Parma this Sunday in Round 37 of Serie A. The hosts are within touching distance of a historic Champions League top-four finish. With the 6th-place Lariani looking to avoid a loss at all costs, we should be in for a defensive display that should feature at least one clean sheet. Stick around for the full prediction.
Under Cesc Fàbregas, Como have built their success on an impenetrable defensive block, racking up an astonishing 18 clean sheets (joint-most) across 36 matches. What’s more, the Lariani have conceded just 28 league goals this season, which is the fewest.
Como 1907 recorded their 18th clean sheet of the season last time out when they beat Verona 1-0, keeping their third clean sheet in a row. Fàbregas’ men won two of those games, and only drew 0-0 with Napoli. Already, Como successfully held Parma to a goalless draw earlier this season.
While they’ll be looking to win this time, we’re confident the BTTS bet will lose on Sunday. The Crusaders may have just featured in a blockbuster 3-2 defeat against Roma. However, their three games prior featured at least one clean sheet. And to top it off, Parma’s offence is among the league’s worst this season, having scored the 3rd-fewest goals so far (27).
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Como 1907 v Parma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.1 | 14 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.55 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.25 | 12 |
|
|
1.23 | 5.8 | 13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Como 1907 and Parma?
Our prediction for the Como 1907 vs Parma match is: BTTS: No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Como 1907 and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.09% for a win of Como 1907 against Parma with odds of 1.32 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Como 1907 vs Parma is 30.99% with odds of 6.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Como 1907 with odds of 14 at Melbet.
Como 1907 - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Como 1907 Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 wins | 47.09% | 1.32 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 58.46% | 2.21 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Como 1907 | 22.76% | 4 at LSbet |
Como 1907 vs Parma Form
Como 1907 and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +36 |
|
13
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 |
Como 1907 and Parma Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Serie A
2 May 2026 - Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
17 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
17 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Serie A
3 May 2026 - Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
13 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Como 1907 vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Feb 2024 - Serie B
20 Oct 2023 - Serie B
18 Mar 2023 - Serie B
Como 1907 against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
N. Tornqvist
N. Cavlina
M. Vigorito
DefenderI. Smolcic
E. Goldaniga
D. Carlos
M. Vojvoda
MidfielderR. Cassano
A. Lahdo
S. Roberto
J. Rodriguez
A. Morata
N. Kuhn
E. Corvi
G. Astaldi
DefenderA. Ndiaye
M. Mena Martinez
E. Valeri
O. Sorensen
E. Tigani
N. Estevez
N. Elphege
D. Mikolajewski
A. Cardinali
P. Almqvist
Missing players
A. Valle
ForwardN. Paz
J. Addai
G. Casentini
DefenderS. Britschgi
MidfielderA. Bernabe
B. Cremaschi
ForwardM. Frigan
Most goals and assists
Como 1907
Parma
A. Douvikas
(14 Goals)
M. Pellegrino
(9 Goals)
J. Rodriguez Caraballo
(9 Assists)
H. Caviglia
(4 Assists)
Como 1907 - Parma Key Points
- Como 1907 has kept 18 clean sheets this season (the joint-most).
- Parma has scored just 27 goals in 36 league games (3rd-fewest), averaging a low 0.75 goals per match.
- The reverse fixture between these two sides earlier this season ended in a 0-0 draw.
- Como has conceded the fewest goals this season (28), allowing just 0.77 per game.
- Parma has scored the joint-fewest home goals this season (12).
- There has been a clean sheet in Como’s last three games.
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Our Como 1907 vs Parma Prediction
The stats overwhelmingly favour the "Both Teams to Score: No" market. The Lariani have arguably been the best defensive team all season, boasting both the fewest goals conceded and the joint-most clean sheets. This same Como side now takes on a Parma team that’s scored the 3rd-fewest goals this season, and the outright fewest goals on the road (12).
Both teams kept clean sheets in their last encounter. We’re confident that we’ll see another clean sheet kept in their third encounter in a row. Hence, our Como 1907 vs Parma prediction is BTTS: No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Como 1907 Parma
| Como 1907 vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 wins | 1.37 | 1.32 | -3.6% |
| Draw | 5.52 | 6.4 | +15.9% |
| Parma wins | 9.5 | 14 | +47.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Como 1907 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.0% and is now 75.8% (2.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
