South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Nella Wagah | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
An old rivalry will be rekindled as Libertad Asuncion and River Plate face off in the last 16 of the Copa Libertadores. The two sides had superb runs in the group stage, with Libertad securing second place in Group D and River Plate top spot in Group B. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Libertad’s winning run was halted last time out, as they drew 1-1 with Recoleta. Earlier they had posted three straight wins. There hasn’t been much joy at home though, with the team winning just two of their last 10 home games.
Right ahead of this match, they failed to win in the last four home games in Libertadores, though drawing three.
The last time River Plate visited Libertad Asuncion, they won 2-1. That was in 2024, having also won there 10 years before. These two results added to the Argentine side’s dominance in this fixture.
They have four straight wins against Libertad, a run that should give them the confidence even as they play away from home. Adding to their advantage is the fact that they get into this game unbeaten in the last five matches, winning three.
Away from home, River Plate have just one loss in 15 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Club Libertad v River Plate Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 3.25 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.6 | 3 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.1 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.2 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.2 | 1.86 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Club Libertad and River Plate?
Our prediction for the Club Libertad vs River Plate match is: River Plate wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2025 between Club Libertad and River Plate in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.61% for a win of Club Libertad against River Plate with odds of 5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Club Libertad vs River Plate is 30.57% with odds of 3.32 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.82% chance ⭐ for a win of River Plate vs Club Libertad with odds of 1.91 at William Hill.
Club Libertad - River Plate Prediction and Best Odds:
| Club Libertad River Plate Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| River Plate wins | 46.82% | 1.91 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 53.07% | 1.51 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: River Plate/River Plate | 22.89% | 3 at Bet365 |
Club Libertad vs River Plate Form
Club Libertad and River Plate Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Primera Division
4 Aug 2025 - Primera Division
31 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
26 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
19 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
11 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Primera Division
31 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
19 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
5 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
27 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
24 May 2025 - Primera Division
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - Primera Division
26 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
11 Jul 2025 - Primera Division
1 Jun 2025 - Primera Division
21 May 2025 - Primera Division
14 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
19 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
27 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
2 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
19 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
8 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
23 Apr 2025 - Copa Libertadores
Club Libertad vs River Plate Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
24 Apr 2024 - Copa Libertadores
Club Libertad against River Plate Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Club Libertad
River Plate
O. Cardozo
(8 Goals)
,
L. Melgarejo
(8 Goals)
S. Driussi
(10 Goals)
H. Martinez
(1 Assists)
,
H. Fernandez
(1 Assists)
,
I. Ramirez
(1 Assists)
, 
T. Gutierrez
(1 Assists)
,
L. Melgarejo
(1 Assists)
G. Montiel
(4 Assists)
Club Libertad - River Plate Key Points
- River Plate have one loss only in 15 away matches.
- Libertad won just twice in their last 10 home matches.
- River Plate won each of the last four matches against Libertad.
- In Libertadores, Libertad have just one win in six home games.
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Our Club Libertad vs River Plate Prediction
Libertad may be playing at home, but the odds are heavily stacked against them coming here. While they are on a good run, their home form has been unconvincing, winning just twice in 10 matches.
The same has been the case in the Copa Libertadores, where they have one win in the last six matches at home. River Plate will look at this as a game they can win. Our prediction for Libertad Asuncion v River Plate is that River Plate wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Club Libertad River Plate
| Club Libertad vs River Plate | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Libertad wins | 3.75 | 5 | +33.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.25 | -1.5% |
| River Plate wins | 2 | 1.85 | -7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- River Plate is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 54.1% (4.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Club Libertad vs. River Plate game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa Libertadores! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
