Celta Vigo vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Joseph King | in LaLiga Predictions
Matchday 29 in the Spanish La Liga sees Celta Vigo looking to continue their charge for European qualification when they host Deportivo Alaves on Sunday. Os Celestes are currently sitting sixth in the standings, while the Babazorros are just above the relegation zone in 17th. Check out our match prediction below!
Celta secured Europa League football last season with a seventh-place finish and they’re on course to better that this time around. They’re averaging 1.46 points earned per league fixture, up from last year’s 1.44. A win here would take them six points clear of seventh place and potentially pull them level with fifth-place Real Betis for a spot in next season’s UEL.
The Celtistas come into this game on a massive high after pulling off an impressive 2-0 away victory over the favoured Lyon to advance to the Europa League quarter-finals 3-1 on aggregate.
Alaves find themselves in a relegation scrap as we enter the home stretch of the campaign. They’re even on points with 18th-place Mallorca (although with a game in hand), leading only on goal differential.
The visitors come into this one off the back of a 1-1 home draw with Villarreal last Friday, giving up the equalizer late into stoppage time. It was a gut punch of a result which extended El Glorioso’s winless run to seven matches across all competitions (D3, L4).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Celta Vigo v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.4 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.26 | 4.36 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.28 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.15 | 4.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Celta Vigo and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Celta Vigo vs Alavés match is: Celta Vigo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2026 between Celta Vigo and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.04% for a win of Celta Vigo against Alavés with odds of 2.05 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celta Vigo vs Alavés is 24.79% with odds of 3.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Celta Vigo with odds of 4.62 at 888Starz.
Celta Vigo - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Celta Vigo Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 54.04% | 2.05 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.08% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Celta Vigo | 28.78% | 5 at LSbet |
Celta Vigo vs Alavés Form
Celta Vigo and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 |
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
Celta Vigo and Alavés Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
27 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
7 May 2022 - LaLiga
Celta Vigo against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
I. Villar
DefenderM. Fernandez
S. Carreira
J. Rueda
Y. Lago
M. Ristic
MidfielderW. Swedberg
A. Antanon
ForwardP. Duran
F. Lopez
I. Aspas
F. Cervi
R. Montero
R. Fernandez
DefenderV. Koski
A. Guevara
Calebe
D. Suarez
J. Guridi
A. Rebbach
I. Diabate
Missing players
M. Vecino
I. Moriba
M. Roman Gonzalez
F. Garces
Y. Enriquez
Most goals and assists
Celta Vigo
Alavés
B. Iglesias
(14 Goals)
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
J. Rueda
(6 Assists)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
Celta Vigo - Alavés Key Points
- Celta won the reverse fixture 1-0 back in November, and this exact fixture 2-1 last season.
- Alaves have lost 10 of their 14 away matches this season.
- The visitors have managed to score just nine goals away from home, the co-lowest total in La Liga.
- Alaves are winless in their last seven matches, losing four.
- Celta have lost just once in their last nine, winning five.
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Our Celta Vigo vs Alavés Prediction
A win for either of these teams would go a long way towards achieving their current season objectives; for Alaves, it would give them some breathing room in the relegation battle, while Celta would take a big step towards fifth-place.
Celta have to be careful here as they are on short rest and facing risk of a potential hangover effect following their big win over Lyon on Thursday. With that being said, Alaves’ away form simply hasn’t been good enough to get behind, and we can see the home side grinding out three points. Our Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction: Celta Vigo wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celta Vigo Alavés
| Celta Vigo vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 1.78 | 2.05 | +15.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| Alavés wins | 5 | 4.62 | -7.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Celta Vigo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.2% and is now 48.8% (-7.4%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Celta Vigo vs. Alavés game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
