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Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 16 Norway
Casper Ruud
01/05/2025 07:00
ATP 11 Russia
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction :

 

Match will produce three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

The first meeting between Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev since 2021 will be at the quarter-final level at the Madrid Masters. This marks the fourth meeting in their careers, and the winner will take on Francisco Cerundolo or Jakub Mensik. Read on for our prediction.

Ruud is having an underwhelming season for a player who excels on clay. While he has compiled an 18-6 record so far, he is yet to win a title this year.

He was dethroned in Barcelona last week and could only reach the third round in Monte Carlo. However, coming from a fourth-round win against Taylor Fritz, he will be confident of overcoming Medvedev. 

Medvedev has had an easy pass to the quarters. His opponent in the second round withdrew, so the Russian has had to play only two rounds.

In the most recent, he needed three sets to overcome Brandon Nakashima. In recent matches he has avoided the expected meltdowns on the court, managing to push his record to 16-8.

The Russian is also a decent player on clay, and his last title was at the Masters level on clay. That, however, came two years ago. In five clay court matches this year, he has four wins.

After Indian Wells, this is the first time Medvedev has lasted more than three rounds at a tour event this season.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Casper Ruud v Daniil Medvedev Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.5 2.63
William Hill
1.53 2.5
Betway
1.5 2.6
Ladbrokes
1.48 2.5
Unibet
1.51 2.5
Check all Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev odds
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Who will win the Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev match is: match will produce three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev game on 01/05/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Casper Ruud has a 47.06% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.54.
  • Daniil Medvedev has a 52.94% probability of winning facing Casper Ruud ⭐ with odds of 2.65 at Betobet.

Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Casper Ruud has a 47.06 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Casper Ruud47.06 %
Daniil Medvedev52.94 %

Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches

Casper Ruud Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Arthur Rinderknech
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Holger Rune
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

16 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Hamad Medjedovic
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Daniel Elahi Galan
0 :  2
Casper Ruud
Daniil Medvedev Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Brandon Nakashima

27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
withdraw
Laslo Djere

10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexandre Muller

7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Karen Khachanov

Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Casper Ruud

0 %

Daniil Medvedev

100 %

20 Nov 2021 - ATP Finals

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

24 Jun 2021 - ATP Mallorca Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Casper Ruud
Compare Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev with our comparison tool.

Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. Two of Medvedev’s last four completed matches had three sets.
  2. Ruud failed to win at least a set in only one of his last five games.
  3. Three of Medvedev’s last six matches at Madrid had three sets.
  4. Medvedev won at least a set in seven of his last 10 matches.
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Our Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Finally, Casper Ruud gets to face Medvedev on his preferred surface. He has a great opportunity to cut the Russian’s 3-0 head-to-head lead in this fixture. A semi-finalist here, Ruud will be targeting the last four with a win over Medvedev on Thursday.

Medvedev isn’t great on clay but can cause a few problems for an opponent still. He will not go down without a fight here, especially as he will be fresher. Our prediction for Casper Ruud v Daniil Medvedev is that the match will produce three sets.

Prediction :

 

Match will produce three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
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