Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Defending champion Casper Ruud is only the 12th seed for this year's Mutua Madrid Open. He's through to the quarter-finals and takes on unseeded Alexander Blockx in this outdoor clay court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
Ruud is playing only his second clay court tournament of the year. His other was in Monte Carlo where he lost to Felix Auger-Aliassime in round three when having to retire. He has made his return in Madrid and only lost five games in his first two matches here.
It was a lot tougher in round four as he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in three sets, each going to a tie-break. A side bet on one here may well produce a profit.
Ruud is 25th in the live rankings.
Alexander Blockx is making his debut in this Masters tournament. The German has won nine of his 11 clay court matches this year. This is the first time he's made it past round three of an ATP Tour event in 2026.
Wins have come against Cristian Garin and 28th seed Brandon Nakashima (both in three sets) and then 16th-seeded Francisco Cerundolo in straight sets. Both of his last two matches have seen a tie-break played. He's up to a career-high 46th in the live rankings.
We tip more than 20.5 games to be played.
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Casper Ruud v Alexander Blockx Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 3.36 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.36 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 3.25 |
|
|
1.31 | 3.25 |
|
Who will win the Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx match is: more than 20.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx game on 30/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Casper Ruud has a 58.07% chance to win against Alexander Blockx according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.33.
- Alexander Blockx has a 41.93% probability of winning facing Casper Ruud ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Casper Ruud has a 58.07 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | 58.07 % |
| Alexander Blockx | 41.93 % |
Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Form
Casper Ruud and Alexander Blockx Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
13 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Casper Ruud - Alexander Blockx Key Points
- Ruud played three tie-breaks in his last match.
- Seven of Ruud's last 12 matches have seen more than 20.5 games played.
- Nine of the last ten matches Blockx has played have had at least 21 games played..
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Blockx has played at least one in six of his last seven matches.
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Our Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Prediction
Casper Ruud is attempting to retain his Madrid Open title but hasn't played a great deal on this surface in 2026. He had two smooth wins earlier in this tournament but had a marathon 39-game match in his last outing against Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Alexander Blockx has been steadily climbing the rankings and is up to a career-high 46th. In the ATP Live Race, he's 29th and that's just four places below Ruud. This could be close and our Casper Ruud v Alexander Blockx prediction is more than 20.5 games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
