Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Qatar Open
ATP - ATP Qatar Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz continues his attempt to win his first Qatar ExxonMobil Open title. In the last eight of this outdoor hard court tournament, he faces 2024 winner and seventh seed Karen Khachanov. Read our match prediction below.
A semi-final against either fifth seed and defending champion Andrey Rublev or unseeded Stefanos Tsitsipas awaits the winner.
World number one and top seed Carlos Alcaraz has only played in Doha once before. Last year saw him lose to Jiri Lehecka in the quarter-finals. This is only his second tournament of the year. Last month saw him win the Australian Open.
He has beaten Frenchmen Arthur Rinderknech and Valentin Royer this week, both in straight sets.
Alcaraz has now won his last 27 matches on this surface, last losing to David Goffin 11 months ago.
Karen Khachanov won this title two years ago but was knocked out in round one last year. The Russian has lost all five of his previous matches against Alcaraz, one on an outdoor hard court. This is his first quarter-final of the year in his fourth tournament.
He’s so far beaten Shintaro Mochizuki and Marton Fucsovics but needed three sets in each match.
We tip Alcaraz to win this match with over 19.5 games played.
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Carlos Alcaraz - Karen Khachanov Key Points
- Only one of their five previous meetings had fewer than 19.5 games played.
- More than 19.5 games have been played in both of the matches played by Alcaraz this week.
- It's 11 months since Alcaraz lost an outdoor hard court match.
- Khachanov has lost all five of his previous matches against Alcaraz.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz is yet to taste defeat this year. His one tournament played in 2026 saw him win the Australian Open. After two straight sets victories this week, he remains unbeaten on outdoor hard courts since March 2025. Both his wins this week saw more than 19.5 games played.
Karen Khachanov was the champion in Doha a couple of years ago. To maintain his hopes of a second title he must beat Carlos Alcaraz for the first time in his career. Our Carlos Alcaraz v Karen Khachanov prediction is Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 19.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
