Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton Prediction & Betting Tips - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
08/11/2026 07:00
Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton

Prediction :

 

More than 9.5 games in set one

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions

Carlos Alcaraz is attempting to win his third consecutive indoor hard court title. The second seed takes on third-seeded Ben Shelton in the final of the Paris Masters. Alcaraz lost his most recent match to Shelton and looking at the stats, more than 9.5 games in set one is our prediction.

After winning last year's Tour Finals and the recent Erste Bank Open, Alcaraz has won his last 14 matches on this surface.

It's not been easy for him this week though with a tight win over Alex Michelsen and having to save two match points against Taylor Fritz. The semi-finals saw him beat unseeded Casper Ruud 6-4 6-4. More than 9.5 games have been played in the first set in seven of his last nine matches.

He leads Shelton 3-1 in previous meetings but Shelton won the most recent one this year. 

There's been at least ten games in the opening set in their last three matches, two going to a tie-break.

Ben Shelton has won one indoor hard court title this year with a 10-3 record. He's won four matches this week, the last three all going to a deciding set. Saturday saw him beat Luca Van Assche after losing the opening set. More than 9.5 games have been played in five of his last nine matches.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz - Ben Shelton Key Points

  1. Each of the last three matches between these two players has seen at least ten games in the opening set.
  2. Two of the last three matches between Alcaraz and Shelton saw the first set go to a tie-break.
  3. Seven of the last nine matches played by Alcaraz (and all three this week) have had more than 9.5 games in the opening set.
  4. Shelton has played more than 9.5 games in the opening set of five of his last nine matches.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz won the Vienna title last week and is yet to lose on an indoor hard court this year. He is the favorite to win this match and most likely will lift the title. He has had a few problems in Paris nearly losing to Taylor Fritz in the last eight.

Ben Shelton is trying to win his second indoor hard court title of the year. He beat Alcaraz at the US Open this year. A side bet on a tie-break may well win. Our main Carlos Alcaraz v Ben Shelton prediction is more than 9.5 games in set one.

Prediction :

 

More than 9.5 games in set one

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.