Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen Prediction & Betting Tips - Rolex Paris Masters
ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions
Fresh from winning the title in VIenna, second seed Carlos Alcaraz will be hoping for a deeper run than usual in the Paris Masters. Round two sees him take on unseeded Alex Michelsen who won a set against him in their only previous meeting. Our prediction here is Alcaraz wins and more than 20.5 games.
Whoever wins will be up against unseeded opposition in round three, either Ugo Humbert or Matteo Berrettini.
Carlos Alcaraz has never made it past the quarter-finals in this tournament. The Spaniard is in good form though and won the Erste Bank Open title in VIenna last week without losing a set. However, three of his five matches saw at least 21 games played with four of the matches seeing a tie-break played.
He has played more than 20.5 games in six of his last nine completed matches.
These two players have only met once. That was in Tokyo last month with Alcaraz winning in three sets.
Alex Michelsen beat Jiri Lehecka in the first round, but had to come from a set down to win. The American has a 5-3 on this surface in 2026 with a quarter-final reached in Brussels. More than 20.5 games have been played in each of his last four matches. Each of the last three have gone to a deciding set.
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Carlos Alcaraz - Alex Michelsen Key Points
- The one previous meeting was won by Alcaraz with more than 20.5 games played.
- Alcaraz has played more than 20.5 games in six of his last ten wins.
- Each of Michelsen's last four matches has seen more than 20.5 games, the last three going to deciding set.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Alcaraz has played one in five of his last six matches.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz has won 38 of his 43 matches this year. On this surface, he has won all six of his matches played in 2026 and extended his unbeaten indoor hard court record to 11 matches. His last two tournaments on this surface have both been won.
He also won his only previous match against Alex Michelsen. That was on an outdoor hard court, but it went to three sets. A side bet on a tie-break is a possible winner. Our main Carlos Alcaraz v Alex Michelsen prediction is Carlos Alcaraz wins and more than 20.5 games.
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