ATP - ATP Bastad Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
The lineup for the Nordea Open has been whittled down to four after the quarter-finals on Friday. In the first semi-final, fifth seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli will be up against Dutchman Jesper De Jong. The winner here will face Luciano Darderi or Francisco Cerundolo, and below we have a prediction for the match.
Ugo Carabelli fired past Filip Misolic in straight sets to improve his season’s performance to 28-18. He is now placed 51st in the live rankings, a new career high.
This is the Argentine’s best run since reaching the semi-finals in the Turin Challenger. Before arriving in Bastad, Ugo Carabelli had lost seven matches on the bounce. This match will mark his third semi-final at the tour level.
While Ugo Carabelli overcame a giant-killer in Misolic, De Jong is facing a third seeded player after eliminating two. In the last round, he saw off tournament favorite Tallon Griekspoor in three sets.
He sits 91st in the live rankings after the win. The world No. 106 is the lowest-ranking among the players still at the competition and will be targeting another big scalp.
This season, he has been to one quarter-final before and won it to advance to the Montpellier semi-final. This is De Jong’s debut at the Nordea Open, and getting to the last four counts as a big performance.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jesper De Jong Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 1.73 |
|
|
2.1 | 1.73 |
|
|
2 | 1.8 |
|
|
2 | 1.75 |
|
|
2.05 | 1.77 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Who will win the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong match is: Jesper De Jong wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong game on 19/07/2025 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 46.34% chance to win against Jesper De Jong according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.1.
- Jesper De Jong has a 53.66% probability of winning facing Camilo Ugo Carabelli ⭐ with odds of 1.81 at Betobet.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 46.34 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46.34 % |
| Jesper De Jong | 53.66 % |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
23 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
17 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
14 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
21 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
13 Oct 2024 - Villa Maria, Argentina, Qualifying
11 Jan 2024 - ATP Australian Open
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jesper De Jong Key Points
- De Jong has five wins in his last 10 matches.
- De Jong won four of his last five matches on clay.
- Ugo Carabelli lost twice in his last five matches on clay.
- In his last 10 games, Ugo Carabelli suffered seven defeats.
- De Jong has beaten two seeded players at Bastad this week.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jesper De Jong Prediction
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has progressed in two quarter-final matches in 2025 but could be staring at a first loss at that stage. De Jong hasn’t lost a quarter-final this season either, while he comes into this match in better form compared to Ugo Carabelli.
The Dutchman has the momentum and confidence after beating two seeded players and will be carrying the same to this stage. His opponent has suffered seven defeats in the last 10 matches. Our prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jesper De Jong is that Jesper De Jong wins the match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Jesper De Jong game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jesper De Jong? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's ATP Bastad Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
