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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Alexander Zverev starts the defence of his Italian Open title with a match against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. The two players will be facing off in the second round with a match against Gaubas Vilius or Denis Shapovalov next. Read on for our prediction of this first-ever meeting between the two players.
The pressure is on once again for Zverev as he is expected to have a deep run in his title defence. The German is in Rome seeking a third Italian Open title, and he has some momentum on him.
In the last eight matches, he won seven. Much of that was in his run to the Munich title. He suffered a fourth-round exit at Madrid.
Ugo Carabelli secured this matchup with a first-round win against Pablo Carreno-Busta in three sets. Facing the lucky loser, Ugo Carabelli had to be at his best, especially after losing the middle set 6-1.
He will have to up his game against a tougher opponent, especially given this will be the defending champion. Ugo Carabelli has this season alternated between the tour and challenger.
He comes into this game having won the Challenger title in Rosario and has an impressive 18-8 record on clay. Ugo Carabelli is playing in the main draw in Rome for the first time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Alexander Zverev Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
8 | 1.08 |
|
|
7.5 | 1.08 |
|
|
7.1 | 1.07 |
|
|
7.5 | 1.07 |
|
|
6.85 | 1.1 |
|
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Who will win the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev match is: Zverev to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev game on 09/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 29.03% chance to win against Alexander Zverev according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 8.5.
- Alexander Zverev has a 70.97% probability of winning facing Camilo Ugo Carabelli ⭐ with odds of 1.1 at 1xbet.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 29.03 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 29.03 % |
| Alexander Zverev | 70.97 % |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Alexander Zverev Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
2 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Zverev has a 24-6 record at the Rome Masters.
- Ugo Carabelli lost four times in his last eight matches.
- Ugo Carabelli is playing his first main draw match in Rome.
- In his last 10 events, Zverev advanced past the second round.
- Five of Zverev’s last six matches at the Rome Masters were in straight sets.
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Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
In his last match, at the Madrid Masters, Zverev fell to an Argentine opponent, so caution will be key as he starts in Rome against another. In his last three matches against Argentine opponents, Zverev lost.
However, he should do well here. This is a good draw to help the champion settle in the competition. Ugo Carabelli just played his first main draw match here, while Zverev is a two-time champion. The German is a firm favorite. Our prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Alexander Zverev is for Zverev to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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