Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 76 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
06/05/2026 06:50
ATP 89 Kazachstan
Aleksandr Shevchenko

Prediction :

 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins set one and match

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Italian Open Predictions

Camilo Ugo Carabelli is attempting to reach round two of the Italian Open for the second successive time. To do so, he must defeat fellow unseeded player Alexander Shevchenko. Find out more in our match prediction below.

Whoever wins this outdoor clay court match will take on 13th seed Karen Khachanov in round two. That wouldn't scare Carabelli because he beat the Russian in the recent Barcelona Open before losing to Rafael Jodar. That's one of two recent losses to the rising Spaniard.

Carabelli has won 12 of his 18 matches played on clay this year. He won the Rosario Challenger Tour title for the second year in a row. On the ATP Tour, his best result has been reaching the last four in Marrakech. He also got to the quarter-finals in Buenos Aires and is 61st in the live rankings.

Alexander Shevchenko has only won four of his nine matches on clay this year. He is yet to get past round two on this surface in 2026. He made it to round two in Bucharest but has lost four of his last five matches on this surface.

His most recent tournament saw him lose in round two of the Aix En Provence Challenger Tour event. 

We tip Carabelli to win set one and the match.

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Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Aleksandr Shevchenko Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.42 2.87
Betwinner
1.45 2.75
Bet365
1.44 2.75
Roobet
1.4 2.76
BC Game
1.4 2.76
Check all Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko odds

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Who will win the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko match is: Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins set one and match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko game on 06/05/2026 of the current ATP Italian Open season:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 63.17% chance to win against Aleksandr Shevchenko according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.45.
  • Aleksandr Shevchenko has a 36.83% probability of winning facing Camilo Ugo Carabelli ⭐ with odds of 3.05 at Shangrila.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 63.17 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Camilo Ugo Carabelli63.17 %
Aleksandr Shevchenko36.83 %

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Form

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Aleksandr Shevchenko Last Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

23 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Gael Monfils

15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Karen Khachanov

4 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

3 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Luca Van Assche
Aleksandr Shevchenko Last matches
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

23 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jaume Munar
2 :  0
Aleksandr Shevchenko

11 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Aleksandr Shevchenko
0 :  2
Diego Dedura-Palomero

7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Marin Cilic
2 :  0
Aleksandr Shevchenko

5 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Aleksandr Shevchenko
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

1 Apr 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Aleksandr Shevchenko
0 :  2
Botic Van De Zandschulp

31 Mar 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Aleksandr Shevchenko
2 :  0
Radu David Turcanu
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Aleksandr Shevchenko Key Points

  1. Carabelli has won set one in three of his last four matches.
  2. Shevchenko has lost the first set in four of his last five matches.
  3. Carabelli has won one clay court Challenger Tour title this year and was a semi-finalist in Marrakech.
  4. Shevchenko is yet to get past round two in a clay court tournament this year.
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Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Prediction

Camilio Ugo Carabell has had a disappointing time on hard courts this year but is far better on clay. One Challenger Tour title has already been won and he's made it to at least the last eight in two ATP Tour tournaments this year.

Alexander Shevchenko is yet to get going on clay in 2026. The Russian is yet to make it past the second round on this surface. He lost in round two of a Challenger Tour event last week. Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Alexander Shevchenko prediction is Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins set one and match.

Prediction :

 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins set one and match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.