England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Premier League champions Liverpool are set to take their title defence to Lancashire, at Turf Moor, meeting Burnley in their next outing. The Reds are looking to build on a perfect run so far in the season, while their hosts are still trying to settle in the topflight, having suffered two defeats in three outings. It is a match of huge contrasts, with Burnley bringing on board a fighting spirit and Liverpool loaded with experience. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Burnley are on six points from their opening three matches. After lasting just one season in the topflight last time, they’ll hope to do better this time around. They are already struggling on that target.
Liverpool have completely different plans for the season. They are looking to win back-to-back league titles, and so far this target is going well, as they have cleaned out nine points from a possible nine.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burnley v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9 | 5.75 | 1.3 |
|
|
9.5 | 5.5 | 1.33 |
|
|
8 | 5 | 1.35 |
|
|
8.5 | 5.25 | 1.33 |
|
|
9 | 5.5 | 1.32 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Liverpool match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2025 between Burnley and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37% for a win of Burnley against Liverpool with odds of 9.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Liverpool is 8.33% with odds of 5.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Burnley with odds of 1.36 at 22bet.
Burnley vs Liverpool Form
Burnley and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|
14
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
Burnley and Liverpool Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
29 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
13 Aug 2025 - National League Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
Burnley vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
13 Feb 2022 - Premier League
21 Aug 2021 - Premier League
19 May 2021 - Premier League
21 Jan 2021 - Premier League
Burnley - Liverpool: Form Analysis
There are positives Burnley can cling to just yet, even though it is still early in the campaign. They may be candidates for relegation, but being outside the bottom three is a good starting point for the Clarets.
Under Scott Parker, they’ve shown grit and a fighting spirit that lacked in their previous season in the top flight. However, that didn’t prevent them from being thrashed 3-0 by Tottenham.
They recovered to beat fellow promoted side Sunderland 2-0 and won a League Cup game against Derby County before their heartbreaking 3-2 loss to Manchester United.
With an average possession per match of 37.6%, Burnley will at best line up defensively.
Liverpool remains the team to beat, being the only team with a 100% record so far. They pulled clear at the top with a deserved 1-0 win over Arsenal in the last round.
Going from that to facing a side tipped to battle relegation is a big shift, so the Reds are expected to go four wins in four. There can be many storylines in this matchup, but Scott Parker will want to forget the memories of the last time he faced Liverpool.
As Bournemouth manager, his team was thrashed 9-0 back in 2022. It may not be as big a loss here, but history is already against him. Burnley have suffered 14 defeats in 18 matches against Liverpool.
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Burnley vs Liverpool last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
ForwardZ. Amdouni
J. Frimpong
MidfielderC. Jones
Burnley & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Burnley continue to be without right winger Zeki Amdouni, who is ruled out with a cruciate ligament injury until January. The Swiss would have been ideal for this game, tapping from his on-loan experience at Benfica last season, where he scored seven goals and laid on two assists.
With Amdouni out, Jaidon Anthony will serve on the wing, Burnley looking to tap on his good start. The Englishman has three goal contributions from his three starts (2 goals and 1 assist). He has attempted seven shots and comes along with an xG of 1.59.
Alexander Isak has the all-clear to feature for Liverpool against Burnley.
At Liverpool, the big story this week has reverberated around Alexander Isak. After a long-drawn-out transfer saga, the Reds have completed the big-money move, adding to an already rich forward line.
Whether the Swede is named on the bench or starts, he is expected to play some part. The Reds have signed a player with 62 goals in 109 appearances in England to join Mohamed Salah, currently on 246 goals for Liverpool.
That forward line also has the in-form Hugo Ekitike, Florian Wirtz, and Cody Gakpo!
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Liverpool
J. Anthony
(2 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(2 Goals)
J. Cullen
(1 Assists)
,
J. Anthony
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Bruun Larsen
(1 Assists)
C. Gakpo
(2 Assists)
Burnley - Liverpool Key Points
- Burnley have conceded three goals twice in three league games.
- Burnley’s three league matches have produced 10 goals.
- Liverpool’s three league matches so far have produced 12 goals.
- Four of Liverpool’s last five away league games had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction
Burnley have mostly played open matches this season, and that is why their games have produced high scores. The hosts' three league matches have had 10 goals. Facing Liverpool and the kind of attack in place, Burnley can’t afford to open up.
But still, we are backing Liverpool to find a way through. The Reds are averaging 5.67 shots on target per game while playing openly too, so we don’t see how this will end with low scores. Our prediction for Burnley v Liverpool is for over 2.5.
Burnley vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Liverpool to win
Liverpool are set for another dominant outing. Their openness might invite Burnley to attack a trap that could work against the Clarets. With a 2.7 average rating for accurate crosses per match and 23.7 accurate long balls, Liverpool have been able to break down opposition.
These give Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo space and time, and we see Liverpool doing that successfully here. Our second prediction is for Liverpool to win.
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Burnley vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
The Burnley v Liverpool match is scheduled for Sunday, 14th September.
The Burnley v Liverpool match will be played at Turf Moor.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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