Brighton vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
Brighton and Burnley will target a positive start to 2026 as they look to improve their fortunes in the 2025-26 English Premier League. This will be matchday 20 of the competition and will be played on Saturday at the American Express Stadium in Sussex. This match between the 14th-placed Seagulls and the 19th-placed Clarets comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 25 points from 19 matches (W6, D7, L6), Brighton are five points adrift of the top six teams. Burnley’s 12 points (W3, D3, L13) see them start this round six points behind the safety zone. The Clarets are among the worst scoring sides of the league, and only two teams have netted fewer goals than their 20.
This is a tricky match for both teams, who have been struggling to win lately. Brighton would like to live up to their favourites tag, especially with Burnley losing consistently on the road. Will there be an upset at the Hove this weekend? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Burnley match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Brighton and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.47% for a win of Brighton against Burnley with odds of 1.51 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Burnley is 30.27% with odds of 4.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Brighton with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
Brighton - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 50.47% | 1.51 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.04% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 80.83% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brighton | 23.3% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Brighton vs Burnley Form
Brighton and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
29 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
|
19
|
13 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -19 |
Brighton and Burnley Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
Brighton vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
19 Feb 2022 - Premier League
14 Aug 2021 - Premier League
6 Feb 2021 - Premier League
6 Nov 2020 - Premier League
Brighton - Burnley: Form Analysis
Brighton drew 2-2 away at West Ham last matchday, making it their sixth winless game in a row (D3, L3) in the league. This sequence has seen them lose control of their fortunes in the race for top six.
The Seagulls are usually strong at home with four wins from their first six league games here (W4, D2), but have no wins from their last three league matches played at this venue (D2, L1).
The last two league head-to-head matches ended in 1-1 draws.
Burnley were beaten 3-1 at home by Newcastle in their last match, ending a run of consecutive draws. That said, eight defeats from their last ten league games (D2, L8) are an apt reflection of their struggles in the relegation battle.
The Clarets have specifically struggled away from home, winning only four points from their nine league trips this season (W1, D1, L7). Despite those poor numbers in terms of results, Burnley have managed to find the back of the net, consistently scoring in each of their last eight trips.
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Brighton against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
A. Webster
MidfielderS. March
C. Baleba
M. Wieffer
ForwardS. Tzimas
Y. Minteh
C. Roberts
L. Beyer
M. Esteve
A. Tuanzebe
J. Worrall
MidfielderH. Mejbri
J. Cullen
Z. Flemming
ForwardZ. Amdouni
L. Foster
Brighton & Burnley Squad Analysis
Carlos Baleba is out on international duty and will miss this game for Brighton. They are also without Solly March, Stefanos Tzimas, and Adam Webster, who are all injured ahead of this fixture. Yankuba Minteh was withdrawn with an injury against West Ham and remains doubtful.
Brighton usually line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Danny Welbeck leading their line as the lone striker. With eight goals in the season, the English veteran striker has been Brighton’s spark. Interestingly, he has never scored against Burnley.
Welbeck has never scored in 11 previous games against Burnley.
Burnley also have three players missing out due to international duty in the Africa Cup of Nations. Mohamed Amdouni, Louis Beyer, Josh Cullen, and Connor Roberts are also out due to long-term injuries. Maxime Esteve limped off early in their midweek defeat and could miss here.
The Clarets have usually lined up in a 3-4-3 formation with Armando Broja playing as the central striker. Zian Flemming missed out due to a late injury but is likely to be their main player, having scored five in the league this season.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Burnley
D. Gomez
(8 Goals)
, 
D. Welbeck
(8 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(6 Goals)
T. Watson
(3 Assists)
,
M. Wieffer
(3 Assists)
, 
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
, 
Y. Minteh
(3 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(4 Assists)
Brighton - Burnley Key Points
- Brighton have seen both teams score in 13 league games and only Manchester United have a higher count in that aspect.
- Four of Brighton’s last six league games produced BTTS.
- Seven of Brighton’s last nine home league games saw goals from both teams.
- In four of Burnley’s last five league matches, both teams scored goals.
- Burnley’s last eight away league games saw both teams score goals.
- In seven of the last nine Premier League matches between these sides, both teams scored goals.
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Our Brighton vs Burnley Prediction
Brighton and Burnley are in the midst of an unwanted winless run. Brighton have failed to win their last six league games (D3, L3), while Burnley have won just two points since the start of November (D2, L8). The Seagulls are a strong side at home, winning four of the last nine league matches here, although they are winless in the last three. Burnley have found it tough on the road, winning only four points from their nine league trips.
Despite such poor form, Burnley are likely to score, and our Brighton vs Burnley prediction is BTTS.
Brighton vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions
Zian Flemming to score anytime
Zian Flemming could be Burnley’s outlet for a goal. He has five goals across the last ten league games, and all of those came away from home. Flemming scored at least once in four of Burnley’s last five away league games and could be bracing up for another impactful performance.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Burnley
| Brighton vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 1.5 | 1.44 | -4.0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.5 | +15.4% |
| Burnley wins | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 69.4% (2.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brighton vs. Burnley game!
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Brighton vs Burnley - FAQs
The Brighton vs Burnley English Premier League match will not be broadcast live on TV in the UK due to the television embargo for games played at 3pm on Saturdays. The blackout would mean that the fans won’t be able to stream it live either.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
Brighton have a very good record against Burnley, losing just one of their last eight Premier League matches between these sides (W2, D5). However, the last two matches between these sides ended in 1-1 draws.
These draws mean that Burnley are unbeaten in their last seven away league games against Brighton (W2, D5). To go with that, the Clarets have never lost a Premier League match at the Amex Stadium in the Premier League (W2, D4).
Brighton’s struggles in front of the goal are pulling them back recently, as three of their last six Premier League goals (while excluding own goals) have come from defenders.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
