Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Chengdu Open
ATP - ATP Chengdu Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Brandon Nakashima, the fourth seed at the Chengdu Open, will be up against qualifier Alejandro Tabilo in the event’s first semi-final. These two are meeting for the third time with this tie balanced at 1-1. Let’s have a look at the match preview and a prediction.
Nakashima, who was the 2022 Next Gen ATP Finals champion, is eyeing a first final in three years. This is his third semi this year, having been to the Acapulco and Houston last-fours.
In his journey here, he defeated the defending champion, Juncheng Shang, after enjoying a first-round bye. He then saw off compatriot Marcos Giron in three sets, a win that improved his record to 29-23 and lifted him to 32nd in the live rankings.
Tabilo’s rankings have dipped over the past one year. The same player picked among the world’s best for the Laver Cup in 2024, had to play here as a qualifier.
He has done well, though, considering how injuries have slowed down his progress. Inclusive of the qualifiers, Tabilo is on five straight wins, but on the other hand, he has spent a massive nine hours on the court in Chengdu.
That is about five more than Nakashima, and it could have an effect. Tabilo beat Christopher O’Connell in three sets in the quarters, taking his tally to 19-17 and reaching 90th in the live rank. He is playing his first semi on the tour this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brandon Nakashima v Alejandro Tabilo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.53 | 2.5 |
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1.53 | 2.5 |
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1.44 | 2.85 |
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1.5 | 2.6 |
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1.53 | 2.4 |
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Who will win the Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo match is: Nakashima to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo game on 22/09/2025 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:
- Brandon Nakashima has a 51.63% chance to win against Alejandro Tabilo according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 1.61.
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 48.37% probability of winning facing Brandon Nakashima ⭐ with odds of 2.85 at Unibet.
Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Brandon Nakashima has a 51.63 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | 51.63 % |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 48.37 % |
Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Form
Brandon Nakashima and Alejandro Tabilo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
19 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
19 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
18 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
17 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
16 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
14 Sept 2025 - ATP Challenger Guangzhou 2, China Men Singles
Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
11 Sept 2024 - Davis Cup
21 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo Key Points
- Tabilo hasn’t played in a semi-final this season.
- Tabilo has clocked five more hours than Nakashima in Chengdu.
- Nakashima dropped at least a set in four of his last five matches.
- Tabilo failed to win a set in just one of his last 10 games.
- The two meetings between these two ended in three sets.
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Our Brandon Nakashima vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction
These two players have met twice, in 2024, and have one win apiece in this fixture. They are both targeting the first final this year, and for Tabilo, the sixth career title match and a first for Nakashima in three years.
While Tabilo is a qualifier here, he has already eliminated a seeded player on his way to the semis, and Nakashima will be aware of that threat. In Tabilo’s current form, he could force this into a decider, though fatigue might wear him out. Our prediction for Brandon Nakashima v Alejandro Tabilo is for Nakashima to win in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.