UFC - UFC 323
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
The flyweight division is set for a serious shake-up at UFC 323 as former champion Brandon Moreno takes on the young and “almost-flawless” Tatsuro Taira. This Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira match prediction is tricky because we are looking at two extremely brilliant fighters with very different fighting styles.
Moreno, known as The Assassin Baby, looked like his old self in his last outing against Amir Albazi back in November 2024. He mixed up his boxing and wrestling beautifully to snag a dominant unanimous decision, which once again proved he is far from done at the top level.
On the other end, we have Tatsuro "The Best" Taira, who is coming off the first loss of his career to Brandon Royval in October 2024. That split decision loss was a wake-up call that showed Taira can struggle when he can't just bully opponents to the mat. Taira is a wizard on the ground, no doubt, but his striking defense leaves holes that a boxer of Moreno's caliber will most definitely exploit.
Moreno lands a high volume of significant strikes, averaging 3.96 per minute, which is significantly higher than Taira's 2.87. We expect Moreno to keep this standing and use his superior cardio and boxing combinations to frustrate the younger fighter. Taira needs the takedown to win, but Moreno's 64% takedown defense suggests he won't go down easy.
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Brandon Moreno - Tatsuro Taira Key Points
- Brandon Moreno averages 3.96 significant strikes landed per minute, outworking Taira who lands just 2.87.
- The Assassin Baby has a 64% takedown defense rate, which is critical against a grappler like Taira.
- Tatsuro Taira is coming off his first professional loss to Brandon Royval in October 2024, which exposed gaps in his striking defense.
- Moreno returned to the win column with a masterclass unanimous decision over Amir Albazi in November 2024.
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Our Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira Prediction
This fight really comes down to whether Taira can force the grappling exchanges early. The Best is dangerous if he gets top position, but Moreno has made a career out of scrambling out of bad spots and punishing opponents on the feet.
We expect Moreno to stuff the early takedowns, force Taira to stand, and pick him apart, likely over three rounds. The experience gap is just too wide here, and Moreno's momentum from the Albazi win should carry him through. Hence, our Brandon Moreno vs Tatsuro Taira prediction is that Brandon Moreno wins.
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