Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
RB Bragantino and Bahia face off for matchday 12 of the Brasileiro Serie A on Thursday. Will third-placed Masa Bruta be able to continue their strong start to the season against seventh-place Tricolor Baiano? Read on for our match prediction.
After narrowly avoiding relegation last season, RB Bragantino have rebounded strongly this year. They find themselves just a single point behind leaders Flamengo after 11 matches played with their 7-2-2 record putting them on 23 points.
Last time out, Bragantino pulled off a 2-0 away victory over Vasco da Gama, despite having only four total shots to Vasco’s 20. It marked Massa Bruta’s third win in a row across all competitions and second straight in the league.
It’s been a decent start to the league season for Bahia, who will be targeting a top-six spot this time following an eighth-place finish last year. They’ve had to juggle their participation in the Copa Libertadores, of which they were eliminated in the group stage.
With 18 points, Bahia could potentially jump as high as fifth place should they win and other results go their way. They come into this matchup off the back of a 3-1 home win over Nautico in the Copa do Noreste. Their last league appearance saw them hold on for a 2-1 home victory over Sao Paulo.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bragantino v Bahia Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.25 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
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2.25 | 3 | 3.1 |
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2.25 | 3 | 3.4 |
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2.25 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
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2.23 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bragantino and Bahia?
Our prediction for the Bragantino vs Bahia match is: Bragantino wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/06/2025 between Bragantino and Bahia in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.25% for a win of Bragantino against Bahia with odds of 2.26 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bragantino vs Bahia is 9.78% with odds of 3.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Bahia vs Bragantino with odds of 3.74 at 22bet.
Bragantino - Bahia Prediction and Best Odds:
Bragantino Bahia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Bragantino wins | 64.25% | 2.26 at 888Starz |
Under 2.5 | 64.54% | 2.25 at 22bet |
Both Team To Score | 26.25% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
Half-time / Full-time : Bragantino/Bragantino | 27.67% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Bragantino vs Bahia Form
Bragantino and Bahia's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
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23 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
5
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21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Bragantino and Bahia Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2025 - Copa Do Nordeste
4 Jun 2025 - Copa Do Nordeste
31 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2025 - Copa Do Nordeste
31 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2025 - Copa Do Nordeste
28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
10 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil
Bragantino vs Bahia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 May 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Apr 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Jun 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
Bragantino against Bahia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists









Bragantino - Bahia Key Points
- Bragantino have won their last three matches in a row across all competitions.
- Bahia have lost their last five straight away matches across all competitions.
- The hosts have kept three consecutive clean sheets and have outscored their opponents 9-0 during that time.
- The visitors have only managed to score a single goal in their last five away trips.
- The home team has emerged victorious in this fixture in the last four meetings between these sides.
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Our Bragantino vs Bahia Prediction
Bragantino have been excellent on their home turf and are playing a Bahia team that have not traveled well this season. In the Brazilian top flight and the Copa Libertadores, Bahia have lost five of seven matches. They’ve also lost their last five consecutive away matches across all competitions.
Getting even money on the hosts represents good value here as we believe they will win this match more than 50% of the time given their form and their opponent’s struggles on the road. Our Bragantino vs Bahia prediction: Bragantino wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bragantino Bahia
Bragantino vs Bahia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Bragantino wins | 2.2 | 2.25 | +2.3% |
Draw | 3.3 | 3.1 | -6.1% |
Bahia wins | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bragantino is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 44.4% (-1.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bragantino vs. Bahia game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bragantino and Bahia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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