Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Bournemouth
03/01/2026 11:30
Arsenal

Prediction :

 

Arsenal to win and BTTS

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

Arsenal had the best crossover from 2025 to 2026 and look to keep the positive vibes in their Premier League meeting with Bournemouth. The two sides are set to clash at the Vitality Stadium on Saturday. Here we have a look at the stats, the preview, and a prediction of the match.

A lengthy winless run has seen Bournemouth drop to just three places above the relegation zone despite their earlier promise. The Cherries are not in immediate danger of falling in the red zone, though, being nine points out.

Arsenal will come purposed to make their hosts’ situation worse as they look to elevate their own ambitions. The Gunners are in a very strong position in the title race, leading the standings with a four-point buffer. They do have the league’s meanest defence and second-best attack. Meanwhile, Bournemouth have conceded the most goals (35) across the sides above the relegation positions.

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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
6.5 4.75 1.44
Betfred
6.5 4.33 1.44
William Hill
5.5 4.5 1.5
Unibet
6.25 4.5 1.49
Betway
5.75 4.75 1.48
Check all Bournemouth vs Arsenal odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Arsenal?

Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Bournemouth and Arsenal in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.06% for a win of Bournemouth against Arsenal with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Arsenal is 36.19% with odds of 4.78 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Bournemouth with odds of 1.54 at 888Starz.

Bournemouth vs Arsenal Form

Bournemouth and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Arsenal
Arsenal
45 19 14 3 2 25
15
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
23 19 5 8 6 -6

Bournemouth and Arsenal Last Matches

Bournemouth
Bournemouth Last matches
L D D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  1
Bournemouth

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Burnley

15 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Everton
W W D L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Burnley

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Everton

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
West Ham

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

3 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  1
Fulham
L L L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
3.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  1
Bournemouth

15 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth

2 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton

23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Wolves

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Club Brugge
0 :  3
Arsenal
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton

23 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Wolves

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Bayern Munich
W D D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Club Brugge
0 :  3
Arsenal

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Arsenal

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  2
Arsenal

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
0 :  3
Arsenal

Bournemouth vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bournemouth

33 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (home team)
2
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Arsenal

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  1
Bournemouth

4 May 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Bournemouth

30 Sept 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  4
Arsenal

4 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Bournemouth

Bournemouth - Arsenal: Form Analysis

It is heading to three months since Bournemouth last won a game, and the mood at the team hasn’t been great lately. They have shown they have the fight in them in recent matches, though. Against Chelsea, for example, the Cherries took the battle to their hosts in a 2-2 draw.

That made it four times in five matches that they avoided defeat, though they just fell short of recording wins. That game, highlighted by four first-half goals, wasn’t their craziest; earlier they had drawn 4-4 with Manchester United. The team’s defence will take the stick for most of these winless outings, as Bournemouth come here having conceded 11 times in the last four games.

Only three teams won in the 19th round; Arsenal were among them.

That’s not a run they will pride so much in, as they face one of the league’s best-performing teams. Arsenal are coming straight off a statement win over Aston Villa. When it was thought their title hopes were fading, the Gunners produced a masterclass in trouncing in-form Villa 4-1 at home.

Arsenal’s win to end 2025 on a high had even more rewards, as they were the only winners in the top seven in that round. A six-game unbeaten run will be the perfect preparation to face a side that beat them home and away last season.

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Bournemouth vs Arsenal last Lineups

Bournemouth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
D. Petrovic
20
A. Jimenez
23
J. Hill
5
M. Senesi
3
A. Truffert
8
A. Scott
16
M. Tavernier
7
D. Brooks
19
J. Kluivert
24
A. Semenyo
9
Evanilson
19
L. Trossard
14
V. Gyokeres
7
B. Saka
23
M. Merino
36
M. Zubimendi
8
M. Odegaard
5
P. Hincapie
6
G. Magalhaes
2
W. Saliba
12
J. Timber
1
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

M. Akinmboni

Midfielder

B. Doak

V. Milosavljevic

T. Adams

A. Scott

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

C. Mosquera

B. White

R. Calafiori

Midfielder

M. Dowman

Forward

K. Havertz

Bournemouth & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Bournemouth look set to lose their most prolific player this season, Antoine Semenyo. The Ghanaian international is angling for a move to Manchester City, who are said to be ready to activate a US$68m payout.

Despite these developments, Semenyo, who has 12 goal contributions in the league, featured against Chelsea. Bournemouth manager Andoni Iraola insisted he will be available for Arsenal too. While much focus is on Semenyo, Ben Doak, Veljko Milosavljevic, Tyler Adams, Matai Akinmboni, Ryan Christie, and Lewis Cook are all on the injury list.

Antoine Semenyo hopes for a first goal against Arsenal before saying his farewells.

Arsenal welcomed back Gabriel to the starting team against Aston Villa, and the Brazilian responded with a goal. He couldn’t finish the game though, but that has since been declared as just a precaution. Ben White made his return, a key component in Jurrien Timber’s workload management, and the Englishman will play understudy again.

The big absentee in the last match was Declan Rice, who had a knee injury. The Gunners having done well, it isn’t expected that Mikel Arteta will rush him back. Ricardo Calafiori is also set to miss this game with a thigh injury.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bournemouth
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Ghana A. Semenyo (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium L. Trossard (7 Goals) England B. Saka (7 Goals) Sweden V. Gyokeres (7 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina M. Senesi (3 Assists)
Ghana A. Semenyo (3 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (6 Assists)

Bournemouth and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Arsenal
Arsenal
26%
Wins
74%
42%
Draw
16%
32%
Losses
11%
3.37
Total goals per match
2.58
1.53
Goals scored per match
1.95
1.84
Goals conceded per match
0.63
63%
Over 2.5
47%
37%
Under 2.5
53%
63%
BTTS
47%
26%
Clean Sheet
47%

Bournemouth - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last six matches.
  2. Arsenal have only managed three clean sheets in 10 matches.
  3. Both teams scored in three of Arsenal’s last five away outings.
  4. Bournemouth scored in seven of their last 10 games in the league.
  5. Bournemouth are winless in their last 10 matches, suffering five defeats.
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Our Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction

Arsenal may come into this game holding the best run in the league defensively, but they have lately struggled at the back. A few injuries in that backline have seen Arsenal regularly switch personnel, and it hasn’t helped.

They are still comparatively solid in defence but have lacked consistency as far as clan sheets are concerned. Bournemouth will be aware of this, but they must also devise a way to deal with the Gunners’ rampant attack. Our prediction for Bournemouth v Arsenal is for Arsenal to win and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Arsenal to win and BTTS

 
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Bournemouth vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Second half to have the most goals

Odds 2.37

Bournemouth’s last four matches produced 19 goals, with both teams scoring. Of that total, 10 goals came in the second half. At Arsenal, 12 of the 14 goals recorded in the last five matches were scored in the second half.

With such numbers, we could have another late show at the Vitality Stadium. Our second prediction here is that the second half will have the most goals.

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Bournemouth vs Arsenal - FAQs

The Bournemouth v Arsenal match will be played on Saturday, 3 January.

The Bournemouth v Arsenal match will be played at the Vitality Stadium.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction