Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC Fight Night
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
Billy Quarantillo has not fought since December 2024. Diego Ferreira has not won since May of that same year. The two lightweight veterans meet in the co-main event at UFC Fight Night on Saturday. Our Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira match prediction backs the man who has worn the years better.
Quarantillo is 18-7 and steps up to lightweight for the first time in almost a decade. The 37-year-old built his name on volume, landing 7.44 significant strikes a minute at 54 per cent accuracy. He also absorbs seven a minute, which is the other side of that trade. Cub Swanson stopped him in the third round of his last outing.
Ferreira leans on his grappling instead. The Brazilian is a third-degree jiu-jitsu black belt with seven career submission wins, and he choked out Anthony Pettis at UFC 246. He knocked out Mateusz Rebecki in 2024 and finished Michael Johnson the same way a year earlier.
At 41 Ferreira gives away four years but holds four inches of reach. Alexander Hernandez stopped him inside two rounds last September, and four of his seven career defeats have come by knockout. Quarantillo brings the busier hands, Ferreira the natural size and the deeper submission game.
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Billy Quarantillo - Diego Ferreira Key Points
- Ferreira holds a four-inch reach advantage, seventy-four inches to seventy.
- Ferreira is a third-degree jiu-jitsu black belt with seven career submission wins.
- Ferreira submitted former champion Anthony Pettis at UFC 246.
- Ferreira last competed in September 2025, against Quarantillo's December 2024.
- Quarantillo is moving up to lightweight for the first time in almost a decade.
- Quarantillo absorbs 7.00 significant strikes per minute.
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Our Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira Prediction
Reach and natural size decide plenty between two men whose best years are behind them. Ferreira holds four inches of the first and is the true lightweight of the pair. His opponent is climbing a division for the first time since his regional days. Seven submission wins and a third-degree black belt give him a route Quarantillo must survive for fifteen minutes.
Quarantillo throws more and lands more. But he ships seven significant strikes a minute and has been idle for twenty months. Hence, our Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira match prediction is that Diego Ferreira wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.