Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC Fight Night

MMA - UFC Fight Night

Bia Mesquita
21/06/2026 14:00
Melissa Mullins

Prediction :

 

Bia Mesquita wins by KO, TKO, DQ, or Decision

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions

The women's bantamweight division offers a grappling showcase at UFC Vegas 119 this Saturday as BJJ legend Bia Mesquita faces England's Melissa Mullins. The Lady GOAT is unbeaten and newly ranked, while Mullins looks to rebuild. With Mesquita's all-time grappling pedigree towering over the matchup, our prediction backs the Brazilian.

Mesquita is one of the most decorated grapplers in combat sports history, a ten-time IBJJF world champion now translating that mastery to MMA. She is a perfect 7-0, with five submission wins, and most recently tapped Montse Rendon with a first-round rear-naked choke in March.

Mullins, 7-2, is no slouch on the mat herself, having won double gold at the 2023 IBJJF No-Gi Worlds. But the Coventry-based fighter has hit a rough patch, dropping recent bouts to Nora Cornolle and Daria Zhelezniakova, and hasn't competed since a scheduled March return fell through when her opponent missed weight.

It’s true that Mullins can grapple, but nobody in this division matches Mesquita's championship-level control. Her status as a heavy betting underdog reflects the obvious: once this fight hits the canvas, the Brazilian's ability to pass, dominate position and hunt the finish should prove decisive.

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Bia Mesquita - Melissa Mullins Key Points

  1. Mesquita maintains a perfect 7-0 professional record with five wins coming by way of submission stoppage.
  2. Mullins has shown significant technical weaknesses when forced to defend on the mat, dropping a lopsided decision against Daria Zhelezniakova.
  3. The Brazilian ground virtuoso averages an exceptional 100% accuracy on her offensive takedown attempts inside the octagon.
  4. No Mess absorbs a lot of control time against strong positional grapplers, spending considerable time fighting off her back.
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Our Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins Prediction

Mullins truly brings toughness, physicality and her own grappling base, but stepping onto the mat with one of the greatest female jiu-jitsu players ever is a brutal assignment. Mesquita has finished five of her seven wins by submission and looked sharp in her first-round choke of Rendon.

Expect her to close the distance, establish top control early, and either find the tap or bank the rounds comfortably. Hence, our Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins prediction is that Bia Mesquita wins by KO, TKO, DQ, or Submission.

Prediction :

 

Bia Mesquita wins by KO, TKO, DQ, or Decision

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bia Mesquita vs Melissa Mullins Prediction