Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC 329
MMA - UFC 329
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
The lightweight division delivers a genuine title eliminator this Saturday as Benoît Saint Denis meets Paddy Pimblett in the co-main event of UFC 329, tucked right under McGregor vs Holloway in Las Vegas. Both men are chasing a 2027 title shot. With Saint Denis riding a four-fight finishing streak and entering as the betting favorite, our prediction backs God of War to win.
Saint Denis arrives in the form of his life. The Frenchman has won four straight, all by stoppage, most recently dismantling the durable Dan Hooker by TKO earlier this year. Crucially, he's a relentless pressure grappler who averages around four takedown attempts per 15 minutes and owns 11 career submissions, a profile tailor-made to trouble Pimblett.
The Baddy, meanwhile, needs a rebound following his latest slump. Pimblett suffered the first defeat of his UFC career in January, a five-round decision loss to Justin Gaethje in an interim title fight at UFC 324. He showed enormous heart and a granite chin to last the distance, but the fight exposed defensive cracks under sustained pressure.
The decisive factor will be on the mat. Pimblett's takedown defense sits around 44 percent, a worrying number against a pressure wrestler like Saint Denis, who will look to drag the fight to the canvas and grind out control.
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Benoît Saint Denis - Paddy Pimblett Key Points
- Benoît Saint Denis enters on a four-fight winning streak, all by stoppage, most recently a TKO of Dan Hooker.
- Paddy Pimblett suffered the first UFC loss of his career in January, a decision defeat to Justin Gaethje at UFC 324.
- Saint Denis averages roughly four takedown attempts per 15 minutes and holds 11 career submission wins.
- Pimblett's takedown defense is around 44 percent, a significant vulnerability against a pressure wrestler.
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Our Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett Prediction
This one likely comes down to the grappling exchanges, and that's where the matchup favors Saint Denis. Pimblett proved his chin and cardio over 25 hard minutes with Gaethje, but his sub-50 percent takedown defense is a glaring problem against a Frenchman who chains takedowns and hunts submissions relentlessly.
If Saint Denis gets this to the mat, he can bank rounds and threaten the finish that has defined his recent run. Expect God of War's pressure to tell. Hence, our Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett prediction is that Benoît Saint Denis wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
