Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Jose Mourinho’s return remains the big headline at Benfica even as they prepare to host Rio Ave. The two sides clash on Tuesday in the Primeira Liga, and we have the match prediction below.
The ‘Special One’ has already celebrated a win on his return, 25 years on, leading the team to a 3-0 win over AVS. His first home game after reappointment will be special but just starts a run of key emotional matches for Mourinho more than Benfica.
The Eagles have two straight home games and then travel to Chelsea before returning to face current leaders FC Porto.
If the manager can match the emotional reunion with wins, Benfica will be in a very strong position in both the Champions League and Primeira Liga.
Rio Ave are set for a very tough outing as Benfica players look to give the ‘new manager bounce.’ Given a choice, the visitors would have wished for a different date to visit Benfica, as they are still winless, five matches into the season.
They are coming off a 3-0 defeat at Porto, their second straight loss. It was also the second straight time they conceded three goals. Rio Ave have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last four matches and three in each of their last four away league games.
With only one win in nine away league outings, it seems their wait for a first win will stretch.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Rio Ave Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.11 | 8 | 17 |
|
|
1.14 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.15 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.14 | 8 | 15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Rio Ave?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Rio Ave match is: Benfica to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/09/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Rio Ave in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.39% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Rio Ave with odds of 1.18 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Rio Ave is 24.33% with odds of 8.75 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Rio Ave vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 17 at Bet365.
Benfica Lisbon - Rio Ave Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon Rio Ave Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 64.39% | 1.18 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.22% | 1.37 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 40.71% | 1.6 at Ladbrokes |
Benfica Lisbon vs Rio Ave Form
Benfica Lisbon and Rio Ave's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
25 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
|
11
|
12 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -5 |
Benfica Lisbon and Rio Ave Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
12 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
12 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Benfica Lisbon vs Rio Ave Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
8 Oct 2022 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon against Rio Ave Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
A. Bah
MidfielderM. Silva
ForwardBruma
A. Pastor
MidfielderT. Bakoulas
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Rio Ave
V. Pavlidis
(11 Goals)
C. Silva
(7 Goals)
D. Lukebakio
(3 Assists)
C. Silva
(3 Assists)
,
Andre
(3 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Rio Ave Key Points
- Three of Benfica’s last four league matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Benfica are unbeaten in 20 league matches, with 16 wins.
- Benfica scored 3+ in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Rio Ave are winless in their last seven league matches.
- In each of their last four away league games, Rio Ave conceded three goals.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Rio Ave Prediction
Rio Ave have a tough outing here and it is almost impossible to see them walk out of Estadio da Luz without a heavy defeat. There’s everything positive about Benfica in this game and Rio Ave arrive at possibly their lowest.
The visitors are winless in seven league matches and conceded three times in each of the last four on the road. On the other hand, Benifca are unbeaten in 20 league matches, winning 16 and scoring 3+ in seven of the last 10. Our prediction for Benfica v Rio Ave is for Benfica to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Rio Ave
| Benfica Lisbon vs Rio Ave | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.1 | 1.11 | +0.9% |
| Draw | 8.5 | 8 | -5.9% |
| Rio Ave wins | 17 | 17 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.9% and is now 90.1% (-0.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
