Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Benfica look to cut the ten-point gap at the top when they host Estrela Amadora in Round 19 on Sunday. As Águias (The Eagles) beat Tricolores (The Tricolours) 1-0 away in the first meeting. Can Benfica run it back with the league on the line? Let's get into this match prediction.
Jose Mourinho and his Benfica side faced another setback with a 2-0 loss in the Champions League on Wednesday. That loss now marked Benfica's third defeat in its last three games, featuring a semifinal loss to Braga in the Taca da Liga before a quarterfinal exit to Porto in the Taca de Portugal.
With the UCL cup unlikely for The Eagles, their only hope for silverware is a drastic turnaround in the second half of the Portuguese League. They have a chance to keep the pressure on league leaders with a convincing win over Estrela.
However, the away side has been a tough nut to crack more often than not this season. Estrela just suffered a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Estoril in their backyards. But that was The Tricolours' first defeat in their last four games. Before that humiliating loss, they held fifth-placed Braga to a 3-3 draw on the road.
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Benfica Lisbon v Estrela Amadora Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 6.6 | 13 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.8 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.1 | 18 |
|
|
1.15 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.16 | 7 | 14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Estrela Amadora?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora match is: Benfica wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2026 between Benfica Lisbon and Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.99% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Estrela Amadora with odds of 1.2 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora is 20.64% with odds of 8.6 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Estrela Amadora vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 21 at Shangrila.
Benfica Lisbon - Estrela Amadora Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon Estrela Amadora Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 59.99% | 1.2 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.7% | 1.59 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 35.08% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora Form
Benfica Lisbon and Estrela Amadora's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
|
15
|
30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 |
Benfica Lisbon and Estrela Amadora Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon against Estrela Amadora Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Voitinovicius
DefenderT. Araujo
A. Dedic
MidfielderF. Ivanovic
D. Prioste
L. Barreiro
A. Schjelderup
A. Cabral
R. Silva
D. Pinto
DefenderNi
MidfielderE. Doue
R. Oliveira Botelho
P. Fuhrer
A. Sola
A. Souza
J. Gastao
R. Pinho
Missing players
O. Kokcu
J. Veloso
J. Cabral
A. Marcus
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Estrela Amadora
V. Pavlidis
(22 Goals)
A. Schjelderup
(6 Assists)
A. Marcus
(5 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Estrela Amadora Key Points
- Benfica have kept the third-most clean sheets this season (9).
- Benfica has conceded the third-fewest goals this season (11).
- Benfica beat Estrela with a clean sheet in their only meeting this season.
- Benfica has won all three meetings against Estrela since 2023 with a clean sheet.
- Eight of Estrela’s last ten league defeats have been with a clean sheet for the opponents.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora Prediction
Benfica may not be having the season they were expecting, but they've still been widely successful in the league, having gone 18 games without losing. That defense boasts the third-most clean sheets and the third-fewest goals conceded. Just as in their first meeting this season, we doubt Estrela will be able to respond to Benfica's goals.
This has been the situation in all three league meetings at Benfica's home since Estrela was promoted to the first division in 2023. Hence, our Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora prediction is that Benfica wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Estrela Amadora
| Benfica Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.18 | 1.2 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 6.6 | 8.6 | +30.3% |
| Estrela Amadora wins | 16 | 21 | +31.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 83.3% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
