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Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
25/10/2025 15:30
Arouca

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Benfica will hope to bounce back from the midweek defeat in the Champions League when they host Arouca in a Portuguese Primeira Liga matchday nine fixture. This match on Saturday at Estadio da Luz between the third-placed Eagles and the 11th-placed Wolves comes with our prediction of BTTS.

After eight rounds, Benfica’s 18 points (W5, D3) put them four points behind leaders Porto. Arouca’s nine points (W2, D3, L3) put them just three points above the relegation zone.

A 3-0 away defeat at Newcastle in the Champions League during the week underlined Benfica’s problems of inconsistency this season. They haven’t won consecutive games since the start of September.

Although they remain unbeaten in the league this season, Benfica have drawn three of their last five league matches (W2, D3). A 0-0 draw came away at Porto before the international break, while they have an unbeaten record at home in the league this season (W2, D2).

Arouca earned a crucial 2-1 away win at Portimonense in the Taca de Portugal last week. It was just their second win in the last eight competitive matches (W2, D3, L3).

Even in the league, the visitors won just once in their last seven matches (W1, D3, L3), although four points in their last two away league trips suggest they can be a tricky visitor.

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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Arouca Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.13 7.5 13
Betfred
1.17 7 13
William Hill
1.2 6.5 13
Betway
1.18 6.5 13
Unibet
1.18 6.75 14
Check all Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca?

Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.64% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.2 at William Hill.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca is 27.55% with odds of 7.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 17.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 14 at Unibet.

Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Form

Benfica Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
18 8 5 3 0 9
11
Arouca
Arouca
9 8 2 3 3 -9

Benfica Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
W D W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

17 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Chaves
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

30 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

26 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

23 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Rio Ave
W W D L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

23 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Rio Ave

16 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  3
Qarabag FK

12 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Santa Clara

27 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Fenerbahce Istanbul

23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Tondela
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

17 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Chaves
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

30 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

20 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon
Arouca
Arouca Last matches
D L W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Portimonense
1 :  2
Arouca

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  1
Famalicao

29 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  4
Porto

20 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
Arouca

14 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
Arouca
W W D L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  1
Famalicao

29 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  4
Porto

14 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  3
Rio Ave

9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
3 :  1
AVS Futebol SAD

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
4 :  1
Boavista
L D L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Portimonense
1 :  2
Arouca

20 Sep 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
Arouca

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
Arouca

17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Arouca

10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Arouca

26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  0
Arouca

Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Benfica Lisbon

83 %

Draw

17 %

Arouca

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
17%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored (home team)
0.33
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Arouca

1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
Arouca

6 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

31 Oct 2023 - Portugal League Cup

Arouca
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

31 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon
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Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca last Lineups

Benfica Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. Trubin
17
A. Dedic
4
A. Silva
30
N. Otamendi
44
T. Araujo
20
R. Rios
5
E. Barrenechea
8
F. Aursnes
11
D. Lukebakio
14
V. Pavlidis
10
G. Sudakov
17
Barbero
7
N. Djouahra
10
P. Gozalbez
19
A. Trezza
8
D. Simao
21
T. Fukui
16
A. Sola
3
J. Fontán
5
B. Popovic
28
T. Esgaio
1
J. Valido

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Arouca

Missing players

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Defender

A. Bah

A. Dedic

Forward

Bruma

Arouca
Arouca
Defender

J. Fontán

M. Rocha

Midfielder

M. Flores

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Arouca
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay A. Trezza (4 Goals)
Best assists
Ukraine G. Sudakov (2 Assists)
Best assists
South Korea H. Lee (2 Assists)
Uruguay A. Trezza (2 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon and Arouca Stats in Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Arouca
Arouca
63%
Wins
25%
38%
Draw
38%
0%
Losses
38%
2.13
Total goals per match
3.63
1.63
Goals scored per match
1.25
0.5
Goals conceded per match
2.38
50%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Under 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS
63%
50%
Clean Sheet
0%

Benfica Lisbon - Arouca Key Points

  1. Benfica’s last three home league games saw BTTS.
  2. In four of Benfica’s last six league matches, both teams scored goals.
  3. Arouca’s last three away league fixtures produced goals from both teams.
  4. In five of their last seven competitive matches, Arouca saw both teams score goals.
  5. The last league game between these sides ended in a 2-2 draw.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction

Jose Mourinho will be under pressure to deliver after losing 3-0 to Newcastle United in the midweek Champions League fixture. They are yet to impress under Mourinho but will not look to lose ground here. Arouca have been impressive in recent times, but losing against Sporting by a 6-0 score and against FC Porto by a 4-0 score is an indicator of their weakness against top-three opposition. That said, Benfica struggled to keep a clean sheet in their last three home league games.

The visitors may surprise with a goal, and our Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction

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