Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu in Liga Portugal Predictions
Benfica will be hoping to open a five-point gap at the Primeira Liga summit when they host Arouca this Sunday. Heading into this matchday 29 encounter, Benfica are separated from Arouca by 39 points and 11 places. We have a prediction for the match below.
Benfica benefitted from Sporting Lisbon’s slip last time out to go top of the league standings. As Sporting played out a 1-1 draw with Braga, Benfica thrashed Porto 4-1 and opened a two-point buffer.
The target now is to keep adding to that gap as much as possible before their final day matchup with second-placed Sporting. With 13 wins in 14 home league games, Arouca shouldn’t be a team to worry Benfica.
In each of the last 12 meetings between these teams, Arouca lost. Their hopes of bagging three points in this game are almost nil even as they have everything to play for here.
The visitors are just six points above the relegation region and will want to move as far away as possible in the remaining six matches. Arouca’s survival quest has suffered a number of setbacks in recent times.
They are coming from a 2-1 home loss to Famalicao. That was their third defeat in the last five league matches, and they have just one win in the last eight.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benfica Lisbon v Arouca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.11 | 8.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.05 | 9 | 22 |
|
|
1.12 | 10.4 | 24 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca match is: Benfica to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.48% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.15 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca is 18.72% with odds of 10.4 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 24 at 1xbet.
Benfica Lisbon - Arouca Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon Arouca Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 60.48% | 1.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.96% | |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.25 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 36.98% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Form
Benfica Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
75 | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 55 |
|
12
|
33 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | -17 |
Benfica Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
26 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Oct 2023 - Portugal League Cup
31 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal
5 Aug 2022 - Liga Portugal
Players list
A. Trubin
DefenderT. Araujo
A. Silva
N. Otamendi
A. Fernandez
MidfielderO. Kokcu
A. Schjelderup
A. Cabral
ForwardA. Belotti
Bruma
L. Barreiro
N. Mantl
DefenderA. Pinto
J. Fontan
B. Popovic
Weverson
MidfielderP. Santos
M. Loum
D. Nandin
M. Sylla
ForwardM. Puche Garcia
B. Mansilla
Substitutes
S. Soares
MidfielderS. Dahl
L. Barreiro
T. Gouveia
A. Belotti
A. Schjelderup
A. Cabral
Z. Amdouni
Bruma
J. Valido
J. Vinarcik
DefenderWeverson
M. Loum
P. Moreira
ForwardM. Puche Garcia
P. Gozalbez
D. Nandin
B. Mansilla
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Arouca
V. Pavlidis
(27 Goals)
H. Araujo
(5 Goals)
, 
Jason
(5 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(10 Assists)
, 
K. Akturkoglu
(10 Assists)
Weverson
(2 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Arouca Key Points
- Three of Benfica’s last five home league matches had over 3.5 goals.
- Half of Arouca’s last 10 away league matches had over 3.5 goals.
- In their 14 home league games this season, Benfica won 13.
- Benfica’s last five league matches produced 21 goals.
- Arouca lost three of their last five league matches.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction
Benfica hosting Arouca is likely to be a one-sided affair. In the shape of the Primeira Liga title race, Benfica will consider this a must-win match. We’ve already seen Benfica’s dominance in this fixture, winning each one of the last 12 meetings between the teams.
Benfica’s attack is clearly one of the most lethal in the league, and the same unleashed on Arouca’s defence only points to a possible high-scoring encounter. Our prediction for Benfica v Arouca is for Benfica to win and over 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Arouca
| Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.22 | 1.11 | -9.0% |
| Draw | 6 | 8.5 | +41.7% |
| Arouca wins | 12 | 19 | +58.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 90.1% (8.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Benfica Lisbon vs. Arouca game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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