China - Chinese Super League
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by Thobelani Moyo in Football Predictions
Third-placed Beijing Guoan play host to 16th-placed Changchun Yatai at the Workers Stadium on matchday 14 in the Chinese Super League. Here's our match prediction.
Beijing Guoan are located in the top three in the Chinese Super League standings and are four points behind second-placed Chengdu Rongcheng. With a game in hand, a win here could narrow the point gap to second to a manageable one.
The Imperial Guards have been a difficult team to beat. In fact, they have gone 19 matches across all competitions without suffering defeat, and that's 12 when counting only games in the league this season.
In their last league game, they played a 1-1 draw against Qingdao Hainiu. This result was a bitter pill to swallow as it ended a five-match winning streak. After this, they went on to beat second-tier Shijiazhuang Gongfu in the third round of the Chinese FA Cup.
After avoiding the relegation zone by a five-point cushion last season, Changchun Yatai now find themselves deep inside the relegation discussion in the current campaign.
Yatai's shortcomings have been well-reported. They have lost ten games this season and are just four defeats away from matching their previous record of 14 losses.
In their last league outing, they slumped to a 2-1 home defeat against Tianjin Teda before losing 4-3 on penalties against Dalian K'un City in the third round of the Chinese FA Cup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Beijing Guoan v Changchun Yatai Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.18 | 7 | 10 |
|
|
1.15 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai?
Our prediction for the Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai match is: Beijing Guoan to score over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/06/2025 between Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai in Chinese Super League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.61% for a win of Beijing Guoan against Changchun Yatai with odds of 1.22 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai is 19.15% with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Changchun Yatai vs Beijing Guoan with odds of 13 at Bet365.
Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai Prediction and Best Odds:
| Beijing Guoan Changchun Yatai Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan wins | 69.61% | 1.22 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.27% | 1.36 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Beijing Guoan/Beijing Guoan | 40.88% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai Form
Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai's standings in the Chinese Super League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
|
16
|
5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -14 |
Beijing Guoan and Changchun Yatai Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2025 - FA Cup
17 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
10 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
5 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
1 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
25 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
25 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
19 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
6 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
29 Mar 2025 - Chinese Super League
2 Nov 2024 - Chinese Super League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2025 - FA Cup
17 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
5 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
1 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
15 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
2 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2025 - FA Cup
17 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
11 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
5 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
1 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
26 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
11 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
26 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
20 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
6 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
2 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2025 - FA Cup
5 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
1 May 2025 - Chinese Super League
15 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
11 Apr 2025 - Chinese Super League
29 Mar 2025 - Chinese Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sep 2024 - Chinese Super League
17 May 2024 - Chinese Super League
Beijing Guoan against Changchun Yatai Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Beijing Guoan
Changchun Yatai
F. Abreu
(8 Goals)
T. Long
(6 Goals)
Guga
(4 Assists)
R. Beric
(2 Assists)
Beijing Guoan - Changchun Yatai Key Points
- Beijing Guoan have scored ten goals in their last three home league games.
- Changchun Yatai concedes 2.43 goals per game when playing away.
- Beijing Guoan have scored more than 2.5 goals in two of their last three home league games.
- Beijing Guoan have scored more than 2.5 goals in each of their last three home league games against Changchun Yatai.
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Our Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai Prediction
Beijing Guoan are the only team in the league that has yet to suffer defeat this season. The only reason they are not occupying the top spot is that they have drawn way too many matches (5).
However, don't expect a draw in this upcoming match, considering the last time these two sides clashed, Beijing won 8-1 at home. Changchun have the joint-second worst defensive record in the league and will concede more than they should. That said, Beijing can secure a commanding win at home. Our Beijing Guoan v Changchun Yatai prediction: Beijing Guoan to score over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Beijing Guoan Changchun Yatai
| Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan wins | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0% |
| Draw | 7 | 7 | 0% |
| Changchun Yatai wins | 11 | 13 | +18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Beijing Guoan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 83.3% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Beijing Guoan vs. Changchun Yatai game!
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Try your luck on this year's Chinese Super League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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