Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Under the beaming lights at the BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen are braced for the ultimate battle against the power-packed Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday night. Die Werkself are in 25th place in League Phase standings, while the Parisians are third after the first two games. Check out our match prediction below!
Following the shocking decision to sack Erik ten Hag after just three games at the helm, Bayer Leverkusen are trending upward under Kasper Hjulmand, who has yet to lose a match since taking charge last month. However, this is without doubt the toughest assignment the Dane will face in his short tenure at the BayArena to date.
While they have endured a frustrating start to their domestic campaign, PSG have lived up to their title as Kings of Europe so far this term with two wins in two. The defending champs have now won 12 of their last 14 UCL matches and each of their last five in the League Phase of this competition. German grit meets French flair in this contest - let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 3.9 | 1.67 |
|
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5 | 4.2 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.6 | 4 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.5 | 4 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.8 | 4.1 | 1.66 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and PSG?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/10/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and PSG in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.75% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against PSG with odds of 5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG is 25.42% with odds of 4.2 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.83% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 1.7 at Betway.
Bayer Leverkusen - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 38.83% | 1.7 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.87% | 1.57 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | 1.57 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSG | 16.82% | 5.1 at Unibet |
Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG Form
Bayer Leverkusen and PSG's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
|
27
|
2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5 |
Bayer Leverkusen and PSG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2025 - UEFA Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
Bayer Leverkusen - PSG: Form Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen will be hoping to notch up their first win of the 2025-26 Champions League season this week, following back-to-back draws against Copenhagen and PSV over the first two matchdays.
Die Werkself enter this match off the back of a thrilling 4-3 victory over Mainz in the Bundesliga at the weekend and are now unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions (W4 D4 L0).
The hosts have also avoided defeat in their last four home games (W2 D2), and have only suffered one loss in their last 17 at the BayArena in UEFA competitions (W14 D2 L1).
Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last five group-stage matches in UEFA competitions against French opposition!
Meanwhile, after only taking four points from their first five UCL League Phase games last season, PSG have stormed out the blocks with consecutive victories against Atalanta and Barcelona this term.
However, the Red and Blues were far from convincing in their two league games since overcoming Blaugrana, playing out back-to-back draws against Lille and Strasbourg either side of the international break.
In five away games across all competitions this season, the visitors have a record of W3 D1 L1, and they have only managed to maintain one clean sheet in this period, which was against Nantes in mid-August.
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Bayer Leverkusen against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
E. Palacios
A. Tape
F. Ruiz
J. Neves
Bayer Leverkusen & PSG Squad Analysis
Hjulmand has a laundry list of absentees at present, with the likes of Lucas Vazquez, Jarell Quansah, Axel Tape, Patrick Schick, Nathan Tella and Exequiel Palacios all ruled out through injury.
Additionally, Alejo Sarco will not be back in time from the FIFA U-20 World Cup final with Argentina to feature here, while Malik Tillman is only slated to return to training next month.
Teenager Christian Kofane scored Leverkusen’s only goal against PSV and has netted in both league matches since then. The Cameroonian will almost certainly lead the line for the hosts this weekend.
Marquinhos scored when these two teams last met in the Champions League!
That was over a decade ago when the Brazilian was just 20 years old, but the PSG skipper is a doubt for this match owing to a muscle injury, which forced him to sit out the draw at the weekend.
Ballon d’Or winner Ousmane Dembele is also sidelined at present, which should see Goncalo Ramos continue to lead the line. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia should return to the attack after coming off the bench against Strasbourg.
Fabian Ruiz (leg) and Joao Neves (hamstring) are the only other absentees for the visitors, while rising star Noham Kamara has yet to return from international duty with France U-20s.
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
PSG
A. Grimaldo
(6 Goals)
B. Barcola
(4 Goals)
A. Grimaldo
(2 Assists)
Vitinha
(4 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - PSG Key Points
- Eight of Bayer Leverkusen’s last nine games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Bayer Leverkusen have only kept one clean sheet in their five home games across all competitions this season.
- Each of PSG’s last three games have ended with both teams scoring.
- PSG have scored two or more goals in six of their last eight matches across all competitions.
- PSG have only kept one clean sheet in their five away games across all competitions this season.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG Prediction
While Bayer Leverkusen are installed as big underdogs in this match, they have been tough to beat of late, now riding an eight-match unbeaten streak dating back to the opening week of the Bundesliga season.
Given their performances over the first two matchdays of their UCL title defence, PSG will fancy their chances of notching up another win here, but they have been leaky in defence recently. Therefore, we’re expecting to see goals at both ends in this one. Our Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG prediction is both teams to score.
Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
PSG wins the match
Bayer Leverkusen have yet to win a match in the Champions League this season, while PSG notched up back-to-back victories over the first two matchdays of this campaign and have now won their last five League Phase games in this competition.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen PSG
| Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 5 | 4.75 | -5.0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.9 | 0% |
| PSG wins | 1.65 | 1.67 | +1.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 59.9% (-0.7%)
Win free tickets to Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSG at Bet365!
With the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 season starts, bet365 offers free tickets for their users, including Bayer Leverkusen vs. PSG match!
To be in with a chance of winning tickets to any of the UEFA Champions League matchdays throughout the 2025/26 season, all fans must do is enter into the free-to-enter weekly ticket draws on the bet365 website or app*.
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Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen and PSG will take place on October 21 at 20:00 BST.
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen and PSG will be played at the BayArena in Leverkusen.
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen and PSG will be broadcast live on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
