Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie B

Italy - Serie B

Bari
15/05/2026 14:00
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Bari and Suditrol will be fighting for the right to stay in the Italian Serie B as they clash in the play-out. The two finished directly above the relegation zone and were separated by four points, forcing this game. Having been the lower ranked, Bari hosts this match, which our prediction favors under three goals.

It has been three years since Bari last prevailed in this fixture. Their backs are well against the wall, and playing this leg at home, they will hope to make the most of it.

In the last five meetings with Suditrol, they lost three times, the latest coming in the most recent game, in February. Bari have a two-game winning run to build on, having beaten Catanzaro 3-2 lately.

While Bari have two wins to build on here, Suditrol are seeking their first in 10 matches. The visitors finished the regular season on a low, as a 1-1 draw with Juve Stabia meant they couldn’t open up a five-point buffer.

Suditrol suffered six defeats in their last 10 matches and will consider their latest draw a good improvement. It came off the back of three straight defeats, and they had also failed to score in two of their losses.

An away run with five defeats in 10 matches will not be very helpful in their push for survival.

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Bari v FC Sudtirol Bolzano Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.05 3 2.55
Melbet
3.15 3.15 2.39
Betwinner
3 2.98 2.51
Bet365
3.1 3 2.35
Roobet
3.2 2.92 2.38
Check all Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Bari and FC Sudtirol Bolzano?

Our prediction for the Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/05/2026 between Bari and FC Sudtirol Bolzano in Serie B :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.63% for a win of Bari against FC Sudtirol Bolzano with odds of 3.25 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano is 18.93% with odds of 3.15 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.44% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Sudtirol Bolzano vs Bari with odds of 2.65 at LSbet.

Bari - FC Sudtirol Bolzano Prediction and Best Odds:

Bari FC Sudtirol Bolzano Prediction Probability Odds
Bari wins 49.63% 3.25 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 58.97% 2.62 at Melbet
Both Team To Score: No 53.75%
Half-time / Full-time : Bari/Bari 23.07% 5 at Bet365

Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano Form

Bari and FC Sudtirol Bolzano Last Matches

Bari
Bari Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 May 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
2 :  3
Bari

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
2 :  0
Virtus Entella

24 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
2 :  0
Bari

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  3
Venezia

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Monza
2 :  0
Bari

6 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Bari
3 :  1
Modena
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Bari
2 :  0
Virtus Entella

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  3
Venezia

6 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Bari
3 :  1
Modena

22 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  3
Carrarese Calcio

14 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Bari
4 :  1
Reggiana

4 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Bari
2 :  1
Empoli
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 May 2026 - Serie B

US Catanzaro
2 :  3
Bari

24 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
2 :  0
Bari

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Monza
2 :  0
Bari

18 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Frosinone
2 :  1
Bari

8 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Pescara
4 :  0
Bari

27 Feb 2026 - Serie B

Sampdoria
0 :  2
Bari
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
FC Sudtirol Bolzano Last matches
D D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 May 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  1
Juve Stabia

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Sampdoria
1 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

25 Apr 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  3
Mantova FC

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Spezia
6 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  1
Modena

6 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Cesena
1 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
L D L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 May 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  1
Juve Stabia

25 Apr 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  3
Mantova FC

11 Apr 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  1
Modena

22 Mar 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  3
Frosinone

15 Mar 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  0
Pescara

7 Mar 2026 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  1
Virtus Entella
L W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 May 2026 - Serie B

Sampdoria
1 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

18 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Spezia
6 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

6 Apr 2026 - Serie B

Cesena
1 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

18 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Avellino
3 :  2
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

3 Mar 2026 - Serie B

Reggiana
0 :  4
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

21 Feb 2026 - Serie B

Palermo
3 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bari

17 %

Draw

33 %

FC Sudtirol Bolzano

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Serie B

Bari
1 :  2
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

13 Dec 2025 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  0
Bari

13 May 2025 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
0 :  0
Bari

21 Dec 2024 - Serie B

Bari
0 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

24 Feb 2024 - Serie B

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
1 :  0
Bari

9 Dec 2023 - Serie B

Bari
2 :  1
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano Prediction

Bari against FC Sudtirol Bolzano Lineups: Starting 11

Bari

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

31
M. Cerofolini
13
V. Mantovani
26
C. Odenthal
43
D. Nikolaou
28
K. Piscopo
19
T. Esteves
18
G. Maggiore
8
R. Pagano
93
M. Dorval
11
G. Moncini
17
E. Rao
9
E. Pecorino
33
S. Merkaj
26
M. Frigerio
18
S. Tronchin
17
D. Casiraghi
79
S. Molina
24
S. Davi
94
H. El Kaouakibi
19
N. Pietrangeli
34
F. Veseli
31
M. Adamonis

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

FC Sudtirol Bolzano

Substitutes

Bari
Bari
Goalkeeper

M. Pissardo

Defender

R. Pucino

G. Stabile

B. Mane

Midfielder

L. Dickmann

M. Braunoder

T. Esteves 62'

D. Traore

F. Artioli

R. Pagano 62'

N. Bellomo

E. Rao 87'

G. De Pieri

G. Maggiore 76'

Forward

M. Cuni

G. Moncini 76'

C. Gytkjaer

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
Goalkeeper

D. Borra

Defender

C. Sabatini

F. Davi

D. Mancini

Midfielder

J. Martini

M. Frigerio 65'

K. Zedadka

S. Davi 87'

F. Tait

S. Tronchin 87'

D. Brik

D. Crnigoj

E. Pecorino 87'

Forward

R. Tonin

S. Verdi

R. Odogwu

S. Merkaj 79'

Missing players

Bari
Bari
Defender

A. Cistana

Midfielder

M. Verreth

E. Darboe

Forward

A. Partipilo

G. Sibilli

FC Sudtirol Bolzano
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
Goalkeeper

A. Cragno

Defender

A. Masiello

F. Bordon

Midfielder

M. Coulibaly

R. Kofler

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bari
CD Huachipato FC Sudtirol Bolzano
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Moncini (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Albania S. Merkaj (9 Goals) Italy E. Pecorino (9 Goals)
Best assists
Algeria M. Dorval (6 Assists)
Best assists
Italy D. Casiraghi (7 Assists)

Bari - FC Sudtirol Bolzano Key Points

  1. Three of Bari’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
  2. Bari failed to score in five of their last 10 matches.
  3. Three of Suditrol’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
  4. Five goals were netted in the last five meetings between these teams.
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Our Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano Prediction

Suditrol prevailed over Bari in the two sides’ Serie B meetings this season, drawing the first leg 0-0 and winning 2-1 in the reverse match. That, however, is not the only major characteristic in this match. This fixture rarely hits three or more goals.

The latest five meetings between these two sides posted just five goals. Two of the matches ended in 0-0 score lines, and Suditrol, winner in three of the matches, did so by one-goal margins. Our prediction for Bari v Suditrol is for less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bari FC Sudtirol Bolzano

Bari vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Bari wins 2.4 3.25 +35.4%
Draw 3.2 3.15 -1.6%
FC Sudtirol Bolzano wins 2.9 2.65 -8.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Bari is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 35.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 30.8% (-10.9%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.