Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield in Champions League Predictions
Fresh from winning the Copa del Rey final at the weekend, Barcelona are home to Inter Milan in the Champions League. This is the first leg of their semi-final with the winner taking on either Arsenal or PSG. Can Barca reach the final? Here's our match prediction.
This is the first time that Barcelona have reached the Champions League semi-finals since 2019. Their last appearance in the final was when winning the trophy ten years ago. Now they are on course to win a treble of La Liga, the Copa del Rey (already in the bag) and the Champions League.
Inter finished fourth in the league phase and are attempting to make it to their second Champions League final in three seasons. They are in a tight battle with Napoli at the top of Serie A. As you will read in the form section of this preview, they are struggling for goals at present.
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The Best Betting Odds for Barcelona v Inter Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.8 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.3 | 5.11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Inter Milan?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Inter Milan match is: Barcelona to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/04/2025 between Barcelona and Inter Milan in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.29% for a win of Barcelona against Inter Milan with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Inter Milan is 25.19% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Barcelona with odds of 5.11 at 1xbet.
Barcelona - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barcelona Inter Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 52.29% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.95% | 1.62 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Barcelona | 21.54% | 4.9 at Betsson |
Barcelona vs Inter Milan Form
Barcelona and Inter Milan Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
Barcelona vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Oct 2022 - Champions League
4 Oct 2022 - Champions League
10 Dec 2019 - Champions League
2 Oct 2019 - Champions League
6 Nov 2018 - Champions League
24 Oct 2018 - Champions League
Barcelona - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
Barcelona came from behind to beat Real Madrid 3-2 in Saturday's Copa Del Rey final. That wasn't perhaps the ideal preparation for a Champions League semi-final. At least this game is being played on Wednesday rather than Tuesday.
That win was their third successive win since being beaten at Borussia Dortmund in the quarter-finals of this competition. Home form has seen them unbeaten in 14 games since a loss to Atletico Madrid just before Christmas.
Barca have won five of their six home Champions League games this season and scored 21 goals in doing so.
Inter are struggling for goals and wins.
Inter have gone four games without a win. The weekend saw them lose 1-0 at home to Roma and that was their third successive defeat. Even more worrying for the Black and Blues is that they have failed to score in their last three matches.
The Serie A side finished fourth in the league phase of this competition. Just like their opponents, they won six matches with one draw and a single defeat. The stand-out stat though is that they only conceded one goal in those eight matches.
Since then, Inter have beaten Feyenoord and Bayern Munich in the knockout stages. They are unbeaten in their last six Champions League games but can they maintain that record with their current form?
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Barcelona against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
A. Balde
MidfielderM. Bernal
M. Casado
ForwardR. Lewandowski
B. Pavard
Barcelona & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
How will playing a cup final that went to extra time affect Barcelona? It's already a tough season and the scheduling of that match was not the smartest idea of the season. At least Barca are still playing in Spain rather than having to travel overseas for this first leg.
Gerard Martin is expected to keep his place in the starting line-up. Dani Olmo may start on the bench with Fermin Lopez starting in midfield. Squad rotation would normally take place but can Barcelona do that for such an important match?
They will look to get a good lead to take to Inter. Robert Lewandowski didn't play at the weekend and has scored 11 goals in this season's Champions League. Raphinha has 12 but he did play for 100 minutes at the weekend.
When will Inter score again?
Inter Milan will be desperate to rediscover their scoring boots after three successive blanks. That situation hasn't been helped by the fact that striker Marcus Thuram will not be playing on Wednesday.
Lautaro Martinez has scored eight Champions League goals this season. He's scored in five of their last six matches in this competition and will be a major threat to Barca if he can get back into scoring form.
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Inter Milan
R. Lewandowski
(36 Goals)
L. Martinez
(20 Goals)
L. Yamal
(15 Assists)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
Barcelona and Inter Milan Stats in Champions League
Barcelona - Inter Milan Key Points
- Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 14 home games.
- Barcelona have won five of their six Champions League home games this season with 21 goals scored.
- Inter have gone four games without a win.
- Inter have failed to score in their last three matches.
- Inter have only won one of their last four away matches.
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Our Barcelona vs Inter Milan Prediction
Inter have hit a poor run of form just at the wrong time of the season. They are now only second in Serie A and face a tough task in this Champions League semi-final. With Thuram out injured, ending a run of three games without scoring will put lots of pressure on Martinez.
Barcelona have shown excellent home form this season with plenty of goals being scored too. They have to recover from the weekend's final but our main Barcelona v Inter Milan prediction is Barcelona to win.
Barcelona vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Raphinha to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Inter Milan
| Barcelona vs Inter Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 1.7 | 1.67 | -1.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.2 | +5.0% |
| Inter Milan wins | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
A few minutes before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 59.9% (1.1%)
Win free tickets to Barcelona vs. Inter Milan at Bet365!
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Barcelona vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions
This is the home leg for Barcelona in this Champions League semi-final. That means the match will be staged at the Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys in Barcelona.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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