Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Saturday’s A-League action kicks off at the Go Media Stadium, with Auckland FC playing host to Wellington Phoenix. The Black Knights are third in the league standings, while the Nix are in sixth place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Auckland FC suffered their first league defeat of the season last weekend, 2-1 against the Newcastle Jets in torrential conditions. They only lost three games across the entire of last season.
That result marked the first time that the Black Knights conceded twice in a league game this season, and it was also the first time they lost a regular-season home game since last December.
The hosts have never lost to this opponent in the top flight and secured a resounding 6-1 victory in this fixture last season.
Meanwhile, Wellington Phoenix have made a mixed start to the season, now on two wins, two draws and two defeats in six games. They have scored eight goals and also conceded eight.
The Nix brought an end to their three-match winless run with a 2-1 victory over Adelaide United last week and are now hoping to win back-to-back league games for the first time in a year.
However, the visitors’ both away games this season ended in stalemates, and they’ve only won one of their last nine on the road in the top flight.
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Auckland FC v Wellington Phoenix Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.59 | 4.1 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.48 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.48 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix?
Our prediction for the Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix match is: Auckland FC wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/12/2025 between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.85% for a win of Auckland FC against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 1.62 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix is 25.86% with odds of 4.52 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC with odds of 6.25 at LSbet.
Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC wins | 52.85% | 1.62 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 57.43% | 2.42 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 53.13% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auckland FC | 23.96% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix Form
Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
42 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +13 |
|
8
|
33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 |
Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 May 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
30 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
23 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
13 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
2 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2025 - FFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
19 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
10 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Feb 2025 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
2 Nov 2024 - A-League
Auckland FC against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
O. Sail
DefenderN. Pijnaker
MidfielderF. Gallegos
C. Howieson
ForwardM. Francois
J. Bidois
G. May
E. McCarron
DefenderC. Piper
J. Smith
T. Loke
MidfielderF. Conchie
A. Cassidy
L. Brooke-Smith
Most goals and assists
Auckland FC
Wellington Phoenix
S. Cosgrove
(12 Goals)
E. Ifeanyi
(10 Goals)
J. Randall
(8 Assists)
K. Nagasawa
(4 Assists)
,
C. Piper
(4 Assists)
,
T. Payne
(4 Assists)
Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix Key Points
- Auckland have only lost one league game this season.
- Auckland have only lost one regular-season home match in 2025.
- Auckland have won their last four matches against this opponent.
- Wellington Phoenix have only won one of their last nine away league games.
- Wellington Phoenix have conceded eight goals in their last two matches at this venue.
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Our Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
Auckland was the dominant team in their match against the Jets last weekend, but the conditions got the better of them, while their opponents were better at converting their big chances.
That is now back-to-back dropped points in the league, and Steve Corica will undoubtedly be demanding a response here, especially after voicing his dissatisfaction about the team’s performance in the draw against Brisbane. We feel the Black Knights will rise to the challenge. Our Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is Auckland FC wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auckland FC Wellington Phoenix
| Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC wins | 1.47 | 1.62 | +10.2% |
| Draw | 4.38 | 4.52 | +3.2% |
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 6.9 | 6.25 | -9.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Auckland FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 68.0% and is now 61.7% (-6.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
