Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in LaLiga Predictions
Atletico Madrid will go into La Liga matchday nine knowing anything but a win against Osasuna will be a disaster. This match on Saturday at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium between the fifth-placed Colchoneros and the 12th-placed Los Rojillos comes with our prediction of Osasuna +2 European Handicap.
With 13 points (W3, D4, L1), Atletico are two points behind the top four teams but are level with the three teams immediately below. Osasuna’s ten points (W3, D1, L4) give them a four-point buffer over the relegation zone and only a win away from their hosts.
Atletico drew 1-1 away at Celta Vigo before the break, failing to build on the 5-2 win over Real Madrid a week before. It was their fourth 1-1 draw of the season, each time failing to hold on to the lead.
Home comforts could bring the best out of Atletico, as they have won their last three home league games in a row.
Osasuna defeated Getafe 2-1 at home to continue their inconsistent season that has seen them fail to post two back-to-back results of the same type. They are among the lowest scorers, but their defensive record is the joint-best after eight rounds, giving a ray of hope.
There’s a lot to improve on the road, though, as Osasuna have lost all four away league games this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico Madrid v Osasuna Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 9 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.8 | 9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 5 | 10 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna match is: Osasuna +2 European Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.83% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Osasuna with odds of 1.41 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna is 22.26% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 10 at Unibet.
Atletico Madrid - Osasuna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Osasuna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 59.83% | 1.41 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.88% | 2.21 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atletico Madrid | 25.67% | 4.2 at Betfair |
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Form
Atletico Madrid and Osasuna's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
|
17
|
12 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -6 |
Atletico Madrid and Osasuna Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 May 2025 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
21 May 2023 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Osasuna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
C. Lenglet
MidfielderJ. Cardoso
J. Cruz
ForwardA. Oroz
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
J. Alvarez
(10 Goals)
A. Budimir
(4 Goals)
G. Simeone
(5 Assists)
R. Garcia
(3 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Osasuna Key Points
- Atletico failed to cover European Handicap of -2 in six of their eight league games this season.
- In three of their four home league games this season, Atletico’s goal margin was two or fewer.
- Osasuna +2 European Handicap was a successful pick in seven of their eight league games this season.
- Osasuna lost their four away league games this season, but three have been by a single-goal margin.
- Osasuna European Handicap of +2 was successful in their last four league matches against Atletico.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction
Atletico start this match as heavy favourites, considering their strong home record and Osasuna’s dire away record. Atletico have won their last three home league games, while Osasuna have lost all four away trips this season. That said, the visitors will be confident of running their hosts close, as that’s something they have consistently done this season. Even Atletico weren’t able to post heavy wins, barring one against Real Madrid.
This could be a close game, and our Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna prediction is Osasuna +2 European Handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Osasuna
| Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.53 | 1.33 | -13.1% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 5 | +28.2% |
| Osasuna wins | 6.25 | 9.5 | +52.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 75.2% (9.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
