South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
All is set for the 2025 Copa Sudamericana final as Argentine side Lanus goes head-to-head with Brazilian side Atletico MG. The match will be hosted in Paraguay at the Estadio Defensores del Chaco Stadium. Both sides are coming off an inconsistent run of results and will be hoping to have saved their best for this particular outing. In case you are looking to bet on the match, we have a prediction below.
Lanus have already eliminated one Brazilian side. They met with Fluminense in the quarter-finals and won 2-1 on aggregate. In this one-off final, the Argentines will still be looking to prevail as they seek their second Sudamericana title.
Atletico MG are seeking to be the first Brazilian side to win the title after Athletico Paranaense back in 2021. They will be the fifth Brazilian side in the final in five straight years. Bragantino, Sao Paulo, Fortaleza, and Cruzeiro have all fallen short in the final in the last four years.
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The Best Betting Odds for CA Lanus v Atletico MG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3 | 2.4 |
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|
3.1 | 2.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.75 | 2.45 |
|
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3 | 2.88 | 2.5 |
|
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3.3 | 2.95 | 2.38 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between CA Lanus and Atletico MG?
Our prediction for the CA Lanus vs Atletico MG match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between CA Lanus and Atletico MG in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.43% for a win of CA Lanus against Atletico MG with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CA Lanus vs Atletico MG is 23.72% with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs CA Lanus with odds of 2.5 at Betway.
CA Lanus vs Atletico MG Form
CA Lanus and Atletico MG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
23 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Oct 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Oct 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
4 Oct 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
19 Sept 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
16 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3 Nov 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Oct 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Sept 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
CA Lanus - Atletico MG: Form Analysis
Lanus and Atletico meet a decade after their latest clash, back in 2014 in the Recopa Sudamericana. Back then Copa Sudamericana holders Lanus lost to the Libertadores holders Atletico Mineiro.
This will be a rematch coming on completely different terms. Lanus are targeting their third continental crown. They warmed up for this with a 3-1 win against Atletico Tucuman in their domestic league.
That was just their second win in five matches, the first having been against Universidad de Chile in the Sudamericana semis. The Argentines advanced here as Group G winners and then saw off Central Cordoba, Fluminense, and Univ. de Chile to reach the final.
Atletico MG won on penalties the last time these two sides faced off.
While Lanus progressed without a hitch from the group stages, Atletico Mineiro had to negotiate a knockout playoff after finishing second in their group. They overcame Atletico Bucaramanga through penalties.
They then proceeded to take on Godoy Cruz, Bolivar, and Independiente del Valle to reach the final. A 2-0 loss to Bragantino in their last outing doesn’t make for the best preparation for this encounter.
However, with only one loss in their last eight matches, the Brazilians will feel capable coming here.
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CA Lanus vs Atletico MG last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
CA Lanus & Atletico MG Squad Analysis
Apart from Felipe Biafore, Lanus manager Mauricio Pellegrino will have a full squad at his disposal for the Copa Sudamericana final. One of the most important players for the Argentine side must be Marcelino Moreno.
The 30-year-old has three goals and as many assists in the Copa Sudamericana this season. While Moreno’s pass accuracy is superb, at 78.7%, he may need to improve on the accuracy of his shots.
In this competition, he has attempted 25 shots, but only five were on target. It is by Moreno’s creativity that spaces have been able to open up for their lead scorer, Rodrigo Castillo.
The 26-year-old has three goals in this competition, all coming from just five shots on target.
Marcelino Moreno has six G/A and created 22 chances in the Copa Sudamericana this season.
The experienced former Brazilian international Hulk is still doing his thing at the highest level. At 39 years old, the Atletico MG forward will be one of the players to watch in this final.
The burly striker has scored four times and provided two assists in the Copa Sudamericana this season. His goals have come from just 10 shots on target, while he has created 14 big chances in attack.
Leading the line in attack, Hulk benefits from much support from Dudu, Gustavo Scarpa, and Bernard.
Most goals and assists
CA Lanus
Atletico MG
R. Castillo
(10 Goals)
Hulk
(11 Goals)
S. Marcich
(9 Assists)
Hulk
(7 Assists)
CA Lanus and Atletico MG Stats in Copa Sudamericana
CA Lanus - Atletico MG Key Points
- In four of Lanus’ last five matches, both teams scored.
- Lanus managed just one clean sheet in their last five matches.
- Two of Atletico MG’s last three matches had both teams score.
- Atletico MG had just one clean sheet in five away matches.
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Our CA Lanus vs Atletico MG Prediction
When these teams last met, both teams got on to the score sheet. An intense encounter it was, and we still expect the same in this one. Lanus have only failed to score once in their last 10 matches. In six of their last 10 games, both teams scored.
At Atletico it is almost a similar tale. They failed to score in just three of their last 10 outings, and with forwards like Hulk, it is self-explanatory. However, having only three clean sheets in the run of 10 games poses tough questions on the defence. With such stats, our prediction for Lanus v Atletico MG is BTTS.
CA Lanus vs Atletico MG - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw
While Lanus have lost just once in their last 10 matches, they haven't had the consistency to place them ahead of Atletico. The Brazilians have suffered two losses in their last 10 matches and still look good enough to match their Argentine opponents.
In that regard, an intense battle is expected here, and just like it was in 2014, we see this going to penalties. Our second prediction is for a draw at 90 minutes.
Use £/€50 free bets for the CA Lanus vs. Atletico MG game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa Sudamericana! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
CA Lanus vs Atletico MG match : Frequently asked questions
The Lanus v Atletico MG match will be played on Saturday, 22 November.
The Lanus v Atletico MG match will be played at the Estadio Defensores del Chaco Stadium in Paraguay.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
